Off Leash Intel · loading
79 developments across 59 briefings for this place.
Latest linked intelligence
Iraq’s prime minister delivered a new U.S. ceasefire proposal that Iranian leaders immediately rejected. The temporary proposal was probably not serious and did not address control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Unverified development · updated through
Iraq’s prime minister delivered a new U.S. ceasefire proposal that Iranian leaders immediately rejected. The temporary proposal was probably not serious and did not address control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Open source reportGeography
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Iran dossier
79 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Iran
Israel launched at least one missile and possibly drones into Iran, with air-defense activity heard in Isfahan and Tabriz provinces. Iran said it downed drones, while Iranian officials identified a military air base—not nuclear facilities—as the target.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Separately, Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi delivered a new U.S. ceasefire proposal to Iran's leaders, who rejected it immediately. It was probably not a serious proposal, anyway.
Iraq’s prime minister delivered a new U.S. ceasefire proposal that Iranian leaders immediately rejected. The temporary proposal was probably not serious and did not address control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Open source reportGhalibaf, signaled openness to "diplomacy and negotiations" - in addition to war... Immediately after Ghalibaf's televised address, a foreign ministry spokesman denied that Iran had any intention of resuming talks.
Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf expressed openness to diplomacy and negotiations, while a foreign ministry spokesman subsequently denied that Iran intended to resume talks. Internal hardline resistance to Ghalibaf.
Open source reportIran responded to Pres. Trump's threats to strike Iranian infrastructure with an ominous warning that it would retaliate in kind and "all infrastructure in the region will be crushed under steel blows.”
Iran warned that it would respond in kind if President Trump ordered attacks against Iranian infrastructure.
Open source reportwarning that he would order the destruction of Iran's power plants and bridges if its leaders don't "get to the table and negotiate."
An ultimatum to Trump threatening attacks on power plants and bridges unless Iranian leaders return come from negotiations.
Open source reportMany Iranians the visiting journalists interviewed "had come voluntarily to express their grief and, above all, their defiance," and blamed the U.S. and Israel - as opposed to their own repressive leaders - for a war that has made their lives harder.
According to The New York Times, interviews indicating that some Iranians voluntarily mourned former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and blamed the United States and Israel for worsening their lives. Questions remain about the interview conditions and use of government-provided translators.
Open source reportThis week, supporters of a hardline faction physically attacked Pezeshkian and Araghchi while shouting "death to the appeasers."
President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is favoring negotiations; supporters of a hardline faction physically attacked them while chanting against appeasement.
Open source reportRevoking it risks unraveling what little progress had been made towards a lasting peace.
Revoking the oil-sales waiver could unravel the limited progress made toward a lasting peace.
Open source reportThe U.S. revoked the waiver it had granted to allow Iran to resume U.S. dollar oil sales.
Washington withdrew a waiver that allowed Iran to resume oil sales denominated in U.S. dollars. The waiver is a concession from the previous month’s ceasefire negotiations.
Open source reportAs anticipated, the U.S. struck military targets in Iran in retaliation for Iran's strikes on two commercial vessels that were circumventing Tehran's rules for transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
The United States attacked military targets in Iran in retaliation for Iranian strikes on two commercial vessels circumventing Tehran’s transit rules for the Strait of Hormuz.
Open source reportMojtaba hasn't been seen in public since the Feb. 28, 2026 strike that killed his father - and maimed him.
Mojtaba Khamenei is his father’s successor; he was absent from funeral prayers. He has not appeared publicly since a February 28, 2026 strike that killed his father and injured him.
Open source reportRather, the government engineered high turnout by declaring national holidays and bribing attendees with freebies.
Iranian authorities encouraged attendance through national holidays and giveaways. Khamenei had become broadly unpopular because of economic conditions and repression.
Open source reportU.S. intelligence suggested that Israel may have been planning to assassinate several of Iran's more pragmatic leaders - including foreign minister Abbas Araghchi and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf - this spring as U.S.-Iran peace talks got underway. The U.S. asked Israel to refrain from targeting Araghchi or Ghalibaf.
U.S. intelligence indicated that Israel might have been preparing to assassinate Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf during emerging U.S.-Iran talks. Washington asked Israel not to target them.
Open source reportHe also called on the U.S. and Israel to "to avoid any miscalculations" during the processions.
According to Iranian parliament speaker and lead negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf calls for, a large funeral turnout and a warning to the United States and Israel to avoid miscalculations during the processions.
Open source reportformer supreme leader Ali Khamenei, who was killed in a U.S. airstrike on February 28.
Former Iranian supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S. airstrike on February 28 and says Iran was conducting funeral ceremonies.
Open source reportIran's speaker of parliament asserted that his government will not engage the U.S. in negotiations towards a final peace deal until all terms of the interim memorandum of understanding are met, and warned that Iran is "prepared for war" if its conditions are not met.
Iran’s parliamentary speaker ruled out negotiations toward a final peace agreement until every term of an interim memorandum is met and warned that Iran is prepared for war if its conditions are not fulfilled.
Open source reportTheir misgivings stem from intelligence showing that Iranian officials speak much more critically about the deal and their obligations under it when they discuss it amongst themselves than they do in front of mediators or media.
Concern comes from unnamed U.S. intelligence officials and alleges that Iranian officials privately discuss the agreement and their obligations more critically than they do publicly.
Open source reportPres. Trump threatened to carry out strikes on Iran for a third straight night before abruptly calling them off with an announcement that a peace deal is "in pretty final shape" and could be signed as soon as this weekend... Iran's state media contradicted Trump's claim and reported that "nothing is finalized" yet.
Trump threatened a third consecutive night of strikes before canceling them and stating that a peace agreement was in “pretty final shape.” Iranian state media disputed that characterization while unnamed Iranian officials acknowledged reviewing a U.S. memorandum of understanding.
Open source reportbut it's unlikely to lead to a conclusive, war-ending agreement. As The Economist quipped: "At best...it will be a deal to keep talking about a final deal."
The framework is unlikely to yield a conclusive settlement and may only sustain further negotiations.
Open source reportPres. Trump said he delayed a "very major attack" against Iran that was planned for Tuesday to allow ongoing "serious negotiations" to play out, after the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE asked him for more time
Trump postponed a “very major attack” planned for Tuesday after the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE requested more time to pursue an agreement addressing Iran’s nuclear program. Conflicting characterizations of Iran’s latest proposal.
Open source reportReuters reported that Saudi Arabia carried out several quiet retaliatory strikes on Iran early in the war... soon after the strikes, Saudi diplomats engaged their Iranian counterparts in de-escalation talks.
Saudi Arabia conducted several retaliatory strikes against Iran early in the war and subsequently engaged Tehran in de-escalation talks.
Open source reportPres. Trump raised concerns about renewed hostilities with Iran when he said the current, temporary ceasefire is on "massive life support" with a "1 percent chance" of survival and called Iran's latest counterproposal "garbage."
Trump said the ceasefire was on “massive life support,” gave it a “1 percent chance” of survival and rejected Iran’s latest counterproposal as “garbage.” These remarks represent his assessment of the ceasefire and proposal.
Open source reportThe NYT published an excellent report describing how the war has shifted power in Iran from the powerful late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to a group of Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) generals who are now calling the shots.
Power has shifted from the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to IRGC generals, sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The Guards blocked Iran from attending a second round of peace talks in Islamabad.
Open source reportThe latest U.S. proposal... contains the same sticking points on nuclear issues as before, making it unlikely that Iran will suddenly agree
The U.S. proposal retains previous nuclear sticking points, making Iranian acceptance unlikely, and that the port blockade complicates progress toward a lasting agreement.
Open source reportThat suggests Khamenei - who holds his cards close but is thought to be a hardliner - has a pragmatic side too.
Khamenei’s reported support for the truce suggests a pragmatic dimension despite his perceived hard-line outlook.
Open source reportAxios reported that Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, personally backed and blessed the deal.
Mojtaba Khamenei personally approved the agreement.
Open source reportA likely Israeli strike killed Majid Khademi - the head of intelligence for Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) - earlier today.
Majid Khademi, identified as the IRGC intelligence chief, was killed on April 6 in what it characterizes as a likely Israeli strike.
Open source reportPres. Trump used his primetime address on Iran last night to declare that the war was "nearing completion" and - having achieved its objectives - would wrap up in the next two or three weeks, with or without a deal.
President Trump said the war was “nearing completion” and would end in two or three weeks, with or without an agreement. He offered no clear plan for ending the conflict.
Open source reportIran's Council of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father as Supreme Leader. Mojtaba is a quiet figure and his personal views and priorities aren't widely known, but his bloodline and close ties with the security services suggest he's likely to be a hardliner like his father.
Iran’s Council of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father. His family background and security-service relationships suggest he is likely to remain a hardliner.
Open source reportIsrael bombed several Iranian fuel depots, causing thick smoke and acid rain. The White House was surprised by the scale of its ally's attack on (partly) civilian infrastructure and displeased by the prospect that it could backfire by angering ordinary Iranians into supporting their defiant regime.
Israeli attacks on several Iranian fuel depots caused heavy smoke and acid rain. The White House was surprised by the scale of attacks affecting partly civilian infrastructure and worried they could increase domestic support for Iran’s government.
Open source reportThere are few signs of the defections within the regime or the popular movements organizing to overthrow it that Israel hoped would materialize once its airstrikes delivered the first blows.
Israeli strikes have not produced the regime defections or popular mobilization Israel hoped to trigger, suggesting the conflict remains unresolved.
Open source reportPres. Trump called on Iranians to finish the job: "When we are finished, take over your government."
A social-media statement to President Trump urging Iranians come from take control of their government after military operations conclude. Relying on domestic opposition could reduce pressure for a U.S. ground deployment.
Open source reportThe regime announced 40 days of mourning and said the constitutionally-defined process of appointing his successor would begin immediately... Candidates include his son, Mojtaba; his loyal aide, Ali Larijani; and several hardline clerics.
Iran initiated its constitutional succession process and identifies Mojtaba Khamenei, Ali Larijani, and unnamed hardline clerics as possible candidates. Any successor would remain exposed to further Israeli targeting.
Open source reportThe U.S. and Israel bombed Iran on Saturday morning, targeting a daytime gathering of senior Iranian figures - including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei... Iranian state media confirmed early rumors that Khamenei was killed in the strikes.
U.S. and Israeli forces struck a gathering of senior Iranian officials and killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the IRGC’s top commander, and other leaders. Iranian authorities declared 40 days of mourning.
Open source reportYesterday, the government unveiled a new website that Iranians can use to report the names of loved ones killed in the demonstrations who were not included on the government's initial official list... Rights groups say the new government webform is essentially an online trash can
Iranian authorities created a website for reporting people killed in recent demonstrations whose names were absent from an official list. An official death toll of 3,117; rights groups that submissions were not being added and that the list contained errors.
Open source reportIt could change its relationship with the United States in exchange for relief on sanctions...or drastically cut government spending, but neither option appears likely. Instead, further inflation seems more probable.
Iran is unlikely either to improve relations with Washington for sanctions relief or to cut government spending drastically, making further inflation more probable.
Open source reportThe UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors passed a resolution asking Iran to provide an update "without delay" on the status of its enriched uranium stocks and the nuclear sites that were damaged by U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in June. •Iran promptly declined
The IAEA Board of Governors demanded an immediate update on Iran’s enriched-uranium inventory and sites damaged by U.S. and Israeli strikes in June. Iran declined and withheld access to the damaged sites pending further agreement.
Open source reportIt sounds like Iran and the European signatories of the 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal have made little progress on negotiations to avoid the imminent "snapback" of sanctions... most analysts believe Tehran still hopes to negotiate a better outcome.
Iran and the European JCPOA signatories have made little progress toward averting renewed UN sanctions. Iran has threatened to leave the NPT if sanctions return, but relays an analyst judgment that Tehran is more likely to continue negotiating.
Open source reportIran signed an agreement laying out "practical modalities" for International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) experts to resume inspections of Iran's nuclear sites
Iran and the IAEA agreed on practical arrangements for inspectors to return to Iranian nuclear sites. France, Germany, and the United Kingdom initiated a 30-day consultation period that could lead to restored UN sanctions, and that Iran warned its cooperation would end if sanctions return.
Open source reportIran said it would allow inspectors from the UN's nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), to visit for the strictly limited purpose of reestablishing a working relationship
Iran will allow IAEA inspectors to visit solely to reestablish a working relationship, while denying them access to Iranian nuclear sites.
Open source reportadditional intelligence reports suggest that Iran's Pres. Pezeshkian sustained minor leg injuries while fleeing an Israeli strike sometime around day four of their 12-day war.
Unspecified intelligence reports indicate President Masoud Pezeshkian sustained minor leg injuries while fleeing an Israeli strike around the fourth day of a 12-day conflict. Him as blaming Israel rather than the United States; he remains open to nuclear talks with Washington.
Open source reportthe strikes have set Iran's nuclear weapons program back years or even decades... it likely does not have any surviving centrifuges to further enrich it to weapons grade.
Iran’s nuclear-weapons program may have been set back by years or decades, even if some uranium enriched to 60% survived.
Open source reportU.S. SecState Rubio said that he and his British, French, and German counterparts agreed in a phone call yesterday to set a deadline of Aug. 31 for reaching a new nuclear deal with Iran.
According to U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, an agreement with British, French and German counterparts to establish Aug. 31 as a deadline for reaching a new nuclear deal with Iran. Failure could lead to restoration of pre-JCPOA UN sanctions through the snapback mechanism.
Open source reportIran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, appeared in public for the first time since the 12-day war with Israel to celebrate the Shia holiday of Ashura.
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei attended an Ashura observance in his first public appearance since the 12-day conflict with Israel. He had sheltered in a bunker during the fighting.
Open source reportIran's Pres. Pezeshkian told his Emirati counterpart that Iran is ready to return to nuclear negotiations with the U.S. [However, Pezeshkian reiterated Iran's insistence on continuing some nuclear enrichment programs, which means the biggest impasse that stalled prior rounds of talks remains firmly in place.]
President Masoud Pezeshkian told his Emirati counterpart that Iran was ready to resume nuclear negotiations with the United States, while continuing to insist on some enrichment programs. Enrichment remains the principal negotiating impasse.
Open source reportIran's Ayatollah Khamenei bluntly rejected Pres. Trump's call for "unconditional surrender," and instead threatened "irreparable" harm to the U.S. if it joins the fray. Despite Khamenei's fiery rhetoric, Iran's cooler-headed diplomats still insist that Tehran remains open to negotiations with the U.S.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rejected President Trump's call for unconditional surrender and threatened “irreparable” harm if the United States entered the conflict. Iranian diplomats continued to express openness to negotiations.
Open source reportThe NYT said Witkoff's proposal "would amount to a bridge between the current situation, in which Iran is rapidly producing near-bomb-grade uranium, and the U.S.’s goal: no uranium enrichment at all on Iranian soil."
According to The New York Times, an assessment that the proposal would bridge current near-bomb-grade production and the U.S. goal of ending enrichment on Iranian soil, potentially through a monitored consortium involving Oman or Saudi Arabia.
Open source reportU.S. envoy Steve Witkoff proposed new terms for a nuclear deal with Iran. Under this proposal, Iran could continue to enrich uranium to levels used for nuclear power plants (around 3%) - but not to weapons grade levels
U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff proposed allowing Iran to continue enrichment at approximately 3% while the parties negotiate a longer-term agreement barring weapons-grade enrichment. Iran said it would respond in the coming days.
Open source reportCNN reported - citing new U.S. intelligence - that Israel is preparing a possible strike on Iran's nuclear facilities.
Israel may be preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, although no decision was said to be confirmed. Brent crude futures rose 1.3% amid the uncertainty.
Open source reportIran seems to want the U.S. to repeal its latest sanctions before talks resume, but my guess is that it wants to avoid further escalation and won't make new sanctions a sticking point.
Iran wants to avoid further escalation and probably will not condition resumed nuclear talks on the repeal of the latest U.S. sanctions.
Open source reportKhamenei hasn't officially responded yet, but other Iranian officials - including Pres. Pezeshkian - have gently hinted that they're open to talks
Khamenei had not formally responded to Trump’s letter, while President Pezeshkian and other Iranian officials had hinted at openness to negotiations without challenging Khamenei publicly.
Open source reportPres. Trump said he wrote a letter to Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, proposing a revival of nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran.
Trump wrote to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei proposing renewed U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations. Khamenei is resistant, while President Masoud Pezeshkian said he favored negotiations but would follow parameters set by the supreme leader.
Open source reportIt's also easier for the IRGC than it is for private oil traders to flout Western sanctions
Greater IRGC control over oil exports facilitates sanctions evasion and could provide substantial funding for Iranian proxies and allies abroad.
Open source reportA new Reuters report estimated that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) now controls up to half Iran's oil exports - a marked rise from the 20% of oil exports it controlled three years ago.
The IRGC’s share of Iranian oil exports increased from about 20% three years earlier to as much as 50%, generating an estimated $25 billion annually under its direct control.
Open source reportanalysts are whispering that Pres. Trump could seek a new deal with Iran once he enters office.
Analyst speculation that Donald Trump could pursue a new agreement with Iran and that President Masoud Pezeshkian’s government might be receptive.
Open source reportsome Iranians interviewed in the NYT expressed hope for negotiations during Trump's presidency and optimism that Trump will help end the attritive wars Iran's proxies are fighting against Israel.
Some Iranians interviewed by The New York Times hoped for negotiations and believed Trump might help end wars involving Iranian proxies and Israel.
Open source reportIran's currency fell to an all-time low of 703,000 rials per U.S. dollar yesterday on fears that Pres.-elect Trump will institute tougher sanctions once he takes office.
The record low comes from concern that President-elect Trump would impose tougher sanctions after taking office, contrasting it with rates of 32,000 in 2015 and 584,000 on July 30, 2024.
Open source reportTwo senior Iranian officials - IRGC deputy commander Gen. Ali Fadavi and the head of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei's office - said Iran plans to respond to Israel's retaliatory strikes, renewing the tit-for-tat cycle.
Warnings of an Iranian response come from IRGC deputy commander Ali Fadavi and the head of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s office.
Open source reportIran's leaders may have felt compelled to downplay the significance of Israel's assault to mask its defensive shortcomings and justify a tactical decision not to re-retaliate against a stronger enemy.
Iranian leaders may have minimized the damage to obscure defensive shortcomings and support a decision not to retaliate again against Israel.
Open source reportNew satellite images from Planet Labs suggest that Israel's airstrikes on Iran over the weekend did more damage than Iran let on.
Planet Labs imagery suggested Israeli airstrikes caused more damage than Iran acknowledged, including strikes on three of four sites described as IRGC missile-production facilities. The extent of damage was said to remain unclear.
Open source reportIsrael finally carried out its long-telegraphed retaliatory assault against Iran with "precise and targeted strikes" on mostly-symbolic targets, including air defense systems near energy sites (but not the energy sites themselves).
Israel conducted retaliatory strikes against mostly symbolic Iranian targets, including air-defense systems near—but not at—energy facilities.
Open source reportMost foreign airlines have paused flights to Iran in anticipation of Israel's retaliation.
Most foreign airlines suspended flights to Iran in anticipation of possible Israeli retaliation.
Open source reportAnalysts interpreted Khamenei's cautious remarks as hesitant approval for Pezeshkian to proceed with early talks - but under strict red lines drawn out of distrust for "the Great Satan."
Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told President Masoud Pezeshkian’s government there was “no harm” in engaging the “enemy.” Analysts viewed the remarks as cautious permission to explore talks under strict limits.
Open source reportA senior Iranian official said Iran may wait "a long time" to respond to Israel's assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh on Iranian soil last month. Analysts read between the lines to interpret that statement to mean Iran's response has been put on hold.
A senior Iranian official warned that a response to Ismail Haniyeh’s killing could take a long time; unnamed analysts interpreted the statement as indicating that retaliation had been put on hold.
Open source reportAnalysts agree that President-elect Pezeshkian won't be able to effect real policy changes in Iran's rigid theocracy
President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian may moderate the government’s tone but will have little ability to alter major policies without approval from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Iran’s clerical institutions.
Open source reportIran's presidency has little power to effect real change, and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei - who truly calls the shots - doesn't want change.
Pezeshkian seeks improved relations with the West and sanctions relief, but Iran’s presidency has limited authority and that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei will block substantial change.
Open source reportReformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian won Iran's runoff presidential election.
Reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian won Iran’s presidential runoff and that turnout was around 50%, compared with approximately 40% in the first round.
Open source reportAnalysts are struggling to predict the outcome of today's runoff presidential election in Iran... Turnout for today's runoff seems much higher than the record low level of 40% set in the first round.
July 5 runoff between Saeed Jalili and Masoud Pezeshkian is uncertain; turnout appeared higher than the first round’s stated 40% level.
Open source reportPolls opened in Iran's election to choose a successor to Pres. Raisi... the poll will likely go to a runoff on July 5.
Voting opened to select a successor to President Raisi; many young Iranians planned to abstain because of the approved candidate field. Divided support among three candidates will produce a July 5 runoff.
Open source reportAnalysts suggest Pezeshkian has a chance of winning if Ghalibaf and Jalili both stay in the race and split the conservative vote.
Pezeshkian could win if Ghalibaf and Jalili remain in the contest and divide conservative support. Conservative clerics will continue directing policy regardless of the result.
Open source reportTwo of the five conservative candidates approved to run in Iran's presidential election tomorrow have dropped out to consolidate the conservative vote.
Two of five approved conservative candidates withdrew, leaving three hardliners and moderate candidate Masoud Pezeshkian in the presidential race. Mohammad Ghalibaf and Saeed Jalili is the strongest-polling hardliners.
Open source reportThe clerics have blocked most reformist candidates from running...which could backfire and split conservative support between five hardline candidates, leaving the sole moderate candidate allowed on the ballot - Masoud Pezeshkian - with a greater share of the vote than he would've otherwise received.
Iran was preparing to elect a successor to late President Ebrahim Raisi. Excluding most reformists could split support among five hardline candidates and benefit Masoud Pezeshkian, although the author considers his victory and ability to enact change unlikely.
Open source reportThe IAEA censure resolution isn't enforceable, but the fact that 20 countries voted to approve it may add a tiny bit of political pressure on Iran to cooperate with inspectors. (Unlikely)
The non-enforceable censure is unlikely to induce Iranian cooperation, despite the number of states supporting it.
Open source reportThe UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) voted 20-2 (with 12 abstentions) to approve a resolution rebuking Iran for refusing to give IAEA inspectors access to its nuclear sites.
The IAEA approved a resolution rebuking Iran for denying inspectors access to nuclear sites by a 20-2 vote with 12 abstentions; Russia and China opposed it.
Open source reportIran's president is a figurehead beholden to the clerics, who will ensure that Raisi's successor is another conservative hardliner.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s promise of no governmental disruption; clerical authorities will ensure Raisi’s successor is another conservative hardliner.
Open source reportIranian state media blamed the helicopter crash that killed Pres. Raisi on "technical failure," and that seems like a reasonable explanation for it: the Bell 212 helicopter Raisi was flying in was over 40 years old and weather conditions were poor.
Iranian state media attributed the fatal crash to technical failure and explanation reasonable, citing the Bell 212’s age and poor weather.
Open source reportThe BBC published a leaked document from Iran's security forces indicating that its guards were responsible for the 2022 death of 16-year-old protester Nika Shakarami.
According to the BBC, a leaked Iranian security document indicating that guards sexually assaulted and killed 16-year-old protester Nika Shakarami in 2022. The Iranian government had initially characterized her death as suicide.
Open source reportIran sentenced Toomaj Salehi - a rebellious rapper - to death for "spreading corruption on earth" by making music that celebrated antigovernment protests. Salehi plans to appeal.
Iran sentenced rapper Toomaj Salehi to death for “spreading corruption on earth” through music supporting antigovernment protests and that he plans to appeal.
Open source reportIsraeli media say the intent was to have the last word without inflicting such a black eye that Iran's hardliners will demand re-re-retaliation.
An Israeli media assessment that the operation was intended to deliver a final response without inflicting damage likely to trigger further Iranian retaliation.
Open source reportIsrael launched at least one missile - and perhaps some drones - into Iran, and Iran's air defenses were heard in Isfahan and Tabriz provinces.
Israel launched at least one missile and possibly drones into Iran, with air-defense activity heard in Isfahan and Tabriz provinces. Iran said it downed drones, while Iranian officials identified a military air base—not nuclear facilities—as the target.
Open source report