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An internal Pentagon estimate projected total costs of $80–100 billion, substantially above a cited public estimate of $31 billion.
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An internal Pentagon estimate projected total costs of $80–100 billion, substantially above a cited public estimate of $31 billion.
Open source reportGeography
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United States dossier
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United States
TikTok sued the U.S. government over legislation requiring Chinese parent ByteDance to divest the platform or face a ban.
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Chronology
an internal Pentagon estimate concluded that the total cost of the Iran war could reach $80 to $100 billion - far higher than the public estimate of $31 billion
An internal Pentagon estimate projected total costs of $80–100 billion, substantially above a cited public estimate of $31 billion.
Open source reportHe has since taken a tougher stance on trade and now hopes to squeeze more concessions from Canada and Mexico to close the U.S. trade deficit with its neighbors.
President Donald Trump’s tougher trade position is an effort to gain concessions from Canada and Mexico and reduce the U.S. trade deficit with its neighbors.
Open source reportGraham called for the release of the MoU's full text.
Sen. Lindsey Graham is quoted expressing concern that Iran’s interpretation differs from that of the U.S. negotiating team and requesting release of the memorandum’s full text.
Open source reportPres. Trump signed an executive order asking technology companies to voluntarily give the U.S. government pre-release oversight of their new artificial intelligence models.
An executive order asks technology companies to give the U.S. government voluntary pre-release access to new AI models. It contrasts this with an abandoned proposal for a mandatory 90-day government review.
Open source reportThe war is unpopular in the U.S., where an Economist / YouGov poll found only 36% of respondents approve of how Trump is pursuing it.
An Economist/YouGov poll as finding that 36% of respondents approve of President Trump's approach to the conflict.
Open source reportU.S. off-year elections are today. Vote!
U.S. off-year elections were taking place on November 4, 2025, and urges readers to vote.
Open source reportThe U.S. votes in mid-term elections on Tuesday. The most-watched races include New York City's mayoral contest, heated gubernatorial polls in Virginia and New Jersey, and California's Prop. 50 on redistricting
Tuesday’s U.S. voting as including the New York City mayoral election, gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, and California’s Proposition 50 on redistricting.
Open source reportAI chipmaking giant Nvidia announced plans to invest $5 billion in its older rival, Intel... The news sent share prices higher across the chipmaking sector.
Nvidia plans to invest $5 billion in Intel; the announcement lifted semiconductor-sector share prices.
Open source reportU.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced an eleventh-hour agreement to allow TikTok to continue operating in the U.S. under U.S.-controlled owners ahead of tomorrow's extended deadline.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced an agreement allowing TikTok to continue operating in the United States under U.S.-controlled ownership, with Presidents Trump and Xi expected to complete the arrangement Friday.
Open source reportThe U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its decision on interest rates Wednesday. Pres. Trump predicted that the Fed will oblige his request for a "big cut" in rates.
The Federal Reserve would announce an interest-rate decision on Wednesday and that President Trump predicted a “big cut.”
Open source reportgiven the lack of publicly-announced progress towards an acquisition deal - looks likely to be extended again.
The ByteDance divestment deadline is likely to be extended again.
Open source reportWednesday is the extended deadline for Bytedance to sell TikTok to a non-Chinese owner - but that deadline has already been delayed three times
The deadline for ByteDance to sell TikTok to a non-Chinese owner was due on Wednesday after three previous delays.
Open source reportU.S. Federal Judge Amit P. Mehta ordered Google to share some of its search result data with rival companies to remedy Google's monopoly on search.
Judge Amit P. Mehta ordered Google to share certain search-result data with competitors as an antitrust remedy but did not require divestiture of Chrome. The remedy is a relatively lenient precedent for technology-sector regulation.
Open source reportAnalyst consensus estimates predict a 2.8% year-over-year rise in overall prices due to the effect of new tariffs on imported goods.
A consensus forecast of 2.8% year-over-year CPI growth and attributes the expected increase to tariffs on imported goods.
Open source reportPres. Trump threatened to impose a new, 100% tariff on semiconductor imports to the U.S. - but with a key loophole exempting companies that pledge new investment in the U.S.
President Trump threatened a 100% tariff on semiconductor imports while proposing an exemption for companies that commit to new investment in the United States.
Open source reportNew U.S. tariffs go into effect August 7 - unless frantic bilateral negotiations result in a deal before then.
New U.S. tariffs were due to take effect on August 7 unless ongoing bilateral negotiations produced agreements beforehand.
Open source reportThe main factor driving crypto prices to record highs over the weekend was optimism about a trio of crypto-friendly bills
Recent record cryptocurrency prices primarily comes from optimism surrounding the three House bills.
Open source reportThe main factor driving crypto prices to record highs over the weekend was optimism about a trio of crypto-friendly bills that the U.S. House will consider this week
The House will consider the GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act and Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act. The measures are addressing stablecoins, dividing cryptocurrency oversight between the SEC and CFTC, and barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency.
Open source reportThe Trump administration sent new letters to at least seven more countries warning them of the tariffs they face starting Aug. 1 if they don't seal bilateral trade deals with the U.S. before then.
The administration sent tariff letters to at least seven additional countries, warning that duties would begin August 1 absent bilateral trade agreements.
Open source reportWednesday is the postponed deadline for Pres. Trump's new tariffs to go into effect. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent has hinted that the deadline could be extended again.
Wednesday is the postponed effective date for new U.S. tariffs and says Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had suggested another extension could provide time for bilateral trade agreements.
Open source reportTrump is also meeting the leaders of five African countries - Gabon, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mauritania, and Senegal - this week. Trade will be on the agenda.
Trump would meet leaders from Gabon, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mauritania and Senegal, with trade and undeveloped natural-resource deposits on the agenda.
Open source reportThe U.S. State Department said it identified 36 more "countries of concern" that are being considered for full or partial visa bans... The 36 additional countries have 60 days to act to avoid a ban
36 additional countries were under consideration for full or partial visa bans, beyond 12 full and seven partial restrictions previously announced. The countries had 60 days to address overstay rates, security issues or other U.S. concerns.
Open source reportThursday is also the latest deadline for TikTok's Chinese parent company, Bytedance, to sell the short-video app's U.S. operations to a new owner or face a shutdown, but Pres. Trump may grant Bytedance yet another extension.
June 19 is the latest deadline for ByteDance to sell TikTok’s U.S. operations or face a shutdown, while assessing that President Trump may grant another extension.
Open source reportU.S. tariffs on imported steel and aluminum rose from 25% to 50% today.
U.S. tariffs on imported steel and aluminum doubled from 25% to 50% on June 4. The White House reminded trading partners of a deadline to reach agreements avoiding additional tariffs.
Open source reportU.S. SecDef Hegseth announced a fresh inquiry into the military's chaotic 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan and appointed his chief spokesman - not a uniformed military officer - to lead the panel.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered a new inquiry into the U.S. military’s 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan and appointed his chief spokesman, rather than a uniformed officer, to lead it.
Open source reportPres. Trump announced ambitious plans to build a "Golden Dome" missile defense system inspired by Israel's similarly-named "Iron Dome" network.
Trump announced plans for a nationwide missile-defense system inspired by Israel’s Iron Dome. It gives a proposed cost of $175 billion and cites a high Congressional Budget Office estimate of $542 billion.
Open source reportNatural Gas (Nymex): $4.60/MMbtu - a three-year high due to supply constraints and cold weather
Nymex natural gas at $4.60 per MMBtu and characterizes it as a three-year high caused by supply constraints and cold weather.
Open source reportPres. Trump said he was "just about" ready to start sharing intelligence with Ukraine again
Trump was nearly ready to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine, linking the move to Ukrainian participation in peace talks in Saudi Arabia.
Open source reportPrices for the five cryptocurrencies that will be included in the new U.S. strategic crypto reserve - BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA - dropped after the final order forming the reserve said it would be formed from the U.S. government's existing crypto holdings - and not from new purchases, as investors had expected.
Prices for BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA declined after the final order creating a U.S. strategic crypto reserve specified that it would use existing government holdings rather than make new purchases.
Open source reportPres. Trump agreed to a one-month reprieve on tariffs on auto imports from Canada and Mexico to the U.S. after a call with auto executives on Tuesday.
President Trump agreed to postpone tariffs on automobile imports from Canada and Mexico for one month after speaking with auto executives. GM, Ford, and Stellantis agreed in return to shift more production to the United States.
Open source reportPres. Trump signed an executive order re-designating the Houthis a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO).
Trump signed an executive order redesignating the Houthis as a Foreign Terrorist Organization. The first Trump administration imposed FTO and Specially Designated Global Terrorist designations before the Biden administration lifted both.
Open source reportThe app was down for about 12 hours, but then Pres.-elect Trump promised to issue an executive order delaying enforcement of the ban...and the app re-opened to U.S. users.
TikTok was unavailable in the United States for about 12 hours after the Supreme Court upheld a divest-or-ban law, then resumed service after President-elect Trump promised an executive order delaying enforcement.
Open source reportThe NYT reports that many of the app's 170 million U.S. users are reluctantly switching to alternative apps in anticipation of a ban.
Some of TikTok’s 170 million U.S. users were moving to alternative platforms ahead of a potential ban, including the Chinese-owned Xiaohongshu, also called RedNote.
Open source reportSunday is the deadline for TikTok's Chinese parent company to sell the video-sharing app or face a ban - unless the U.S. Supreme Court strikes the ban down before then.
TikTok’s Chinese parent company faced a Sunday deadline to sell the application or face a U.S. ban unless the Supreme Court intervened.
Open source reportThe market expects the Fed to cut target interest rates this week but signal a slower pace of rate cuts for 2025.
Market expectations are favoring a Federal Reserve rate cut at its final 2024 meeting, accompanied by signals of a slower pace of cuts in 2025.
Open source reportIt also won't have a drastic effect on U.S. supply chains: U.S. manufacturers already buy more semi-finished goods than raw materials and have begun to develop alternate sources of the few raw materials still imported from China.
U.S. manufacturers’ use of semi-finished goods and development of alternative sources will limit disruption from the mineral restrictions.
Open source reportVolkswagen quintupled down on its investment in U.S. electric vehicle (EV) maker Rivian, raising its investment from $800 million to $5.8 billion.
Volkswagen increased its planned investment in U.S. electric-vehicle manufacturer Rivian from $800 million to $5.8 billion.
Open source reportSteve Bannon, political prisoner has been released from Federal Prison. Incarcerated four months for contempt of congress.
Steve Bannon was released from federal prison after serving four months for contempt of Congress. Him is a “political prisoner.”
Open source reportThe NYT reported that Chinese hackers tried to access cell phones belonging to Donald Trump, J.D. Vance, and possibly Kamala Harris. It's not clear whether they were successful.
Chinese hackers attempted to access phones associated with Donald Trump, J.D. Vance and possibly Kamala Harris; whether access succeeded was unclear.
Open source report“The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its main benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to 4.75-5.00%.”
The Federal Reserve reduced its main benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point to a target range of 4.75–5.00%.
Open source reportthe U.S. indicted two employees of Russia's state-owned RT news agency for spreading disinformation to try to influence the U.S. election, and is preparing more sanctions over election disinformation
The United States indicted two employees of Russia’s state-owned RT news agency for attempting to influence a U.S. election through disinformation. Additional sanctions were being prepared and that U.S. officials accused both Russia and Iran of election disinformation.
Open source reportThe U.S. Justice Department unsealed indictments charging Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and five other senior Hamas members for a wide range of crimes against American citizens.
The Justice Department unsealed indictments against Yahya Sinwar and five other senior Hamas figures for crimes against American citizens, including conduct associated with and predating the October 7 attacks. The immediate effect is largely symbolic while noting potential prosecution if surviving defendants are apprehended.
Open source reportTesla's U.S. electric vehicle (EV) market share fell below 50% for the first time in the second quarter. Overall EV sales were up 11% year-over-year.
Tesla’s share of U.S. electric-vehicle sales fell below 50% in the second quarter, while total EV sales rose 11% year over year and Ford and General Motors recorded strong quarterly results.
Open source reportU.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines reported that Iran has been provoking and funding U.S.-based anti-Israel protests over Gaza
According to U.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines, an allegation that Iran has funded and encouraged anti-Israel protests in the United States, including through online operatives posing as activists.
Open source reportSeparately, the U.S. FBI shut down a Russian "bot farm" that used artificial intelligence to post pro-Putin disinformation in the U.S. and elsewhere.
The FBI shut down a Russian bot farm that used artificial intelligence, two websites and nearly 1,000 X accounts to disseminate pro-Putin messaging in the United States and elsewhere.
Open source reporta U.S. court sentenced former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández to 45 years in prison for collaborating with drug gangs to traffick hundreds of tons of cocaine into the U.S.
A U.S. court sentenced former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández to 45 years in prison for collaborating with drug-trafficking organizations that moved cocaine into the United States.
Open source reportA NYT investigation found that Israel planned and funded an ongoing social media campaign to influence U.S. lawmakers to support the war in Gaza by planting pro-war posts by fake "American" users.
According to a New York Times investigation, the allegation that Israel planned and funded fake American social-media accounts to build U.S. legislative support for the Gaza war. Meta and OpenAI found no widespread impact from the foreign influence operations they identified.
Open source reportFrank McCourt said he was amassing a group of investors to offer to buy TikTok from its Chinese parent company.
Frank McCourt is organizing investors to seek the purchase of TikTok from its Chinese parent company, presenting the proposal as a way to give users greater control over identity and data.
Open source reportConcerns over the Chinese crypto operation are probably well founded: Microsoft had gone out of its way to warn counterespionnage officials that the operation could allow China to "pursue full-spectrum intelligence collection operations."
Concerns about the cryptocurrency mine were probably well founded, citing an attributed Microsoft warning that it could facilitate broad intelligence collection.
Open source reportThe Biden administration also ordered a Chinese-linked cryptocurrency mining operation conspicuously located near a U.S. Air Force base that operates nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missiles to shut down within 90 days and sell the land it was working from within 120 days over surveillance risks.
The Biden administration ordered a Chinese-linked cryptocurrency mining operation near a U.S. Air Force base hosting nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missiles to shut down within 90 days and sell the land within 120 days.
Open source reportThe U.S. slapped tariffs on cheap Chinese electronics - including electric vehicles (EVs), solar equipment and batteries... The tariff rate... will quadruple to 100%.
The United States imposed tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, solar equipment and batteries, including a quadrupling of the electric-vehicle tariff rate to 100%.
Open source reportTikTok sued the U.S. government over a proposed law that would force TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the app or face a ban.
TikTok sued the U.S. government over legislation requiring Chinese parent ByteDance to divest the platform or face a ban.
Open source report