80 developments across 54 briefings for this country.
80Developments
54Source reports
2024-04-02First seen
2026-07-22Last seen
Evidence mix80 developments
Erik’s assessment16Developing5Unverified59
Countries
Burundi, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Indonesia, Rwanda, Uganda, Zambia
Categories
Active conflict, Energy and resources, Migration, Political instability, Strategic competition, Terrorism, U.S. strategic interests
Coordinates
-2.84, 23.58
Latest linked intelligence
Doubt remains over that the promise of talks will satisfy Tshisekedi's critics while their allegation that he is pursuing a constitutional maneuver to remain in office continues unresolved.
Assessment development · updated through
Latest directly linked development
Democratic Republic of the CongoErik’s assessment
Questions remain about whether DRC dialogue will resolve opposition grievance
Doubt remains over that the promise of talks will satisfy Tshisekedi's critics while their allegation that he is pursuing a constitutional maneuver to remain in office continues unresolved.
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Democratic Republic of the Congo dossier
Democratic Republic of the Congo linked geography
63 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Source archive
0:00Approximate scope
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Tshisekedi appoints DRC’s first female prime minister
President Félix Tshisekedi appointed former planning minister Judith Suminwa Tuluka as the DRC’s first female prime minister, with restoring peace in the country’s east among her challenges.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Development timeline
Questions remain about whether DRC dialogue will resolve opposition grievance
Erik’s assessmentPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
To me, it seems strange that Tshisekedi's critics would be satisfied with the mere promise of talks while their chief grievance - Tshisekedi's "constitutional coup" to remain in power beyond his term - is still moving forward.
Doubt remains over that the promise of talks will satisfy Tshisekedi's critics while their allegation that he is pursuing a constitutional maneuver to remain in office continues unresolved.
Tshisekedi accepted national dialogue and opposition canceled protest
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC's Pres. Tshisekedi acquiesced to the opposition's demands for an inclusive national dialogue under the oversight of the religious leaders who joined him in the room for his announcement.
President Félix Tshisekedi agreed to an inclusive national dialogue overseen by religious leaders, after which opposition parties canceled a scheduled protest.
DRC's National Assembly quietly passed a bill that paves the way for a referendum to alter the constitution so Pres. Tshisekedi can run for a third term. Lacking the numbers to block the measure from passing, the opposition boycotted the vote in protest.
The National Assembly passed a bill enabling a referendum that could permit President Félix Tshisekedi to seek a third term. Opposition lawmakers boycotted the vote because they lacked the numbers to block it.
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda
hundreds of the 906 suspected cases it estimated last week were ruled out, leaving its new estimate with just 116 suspected cases and 330 confirmed cases.
According to WHO, a reduction in suspected cases from an earlier estimate of 906 to 116, alongside 330 confirmed cases. Delayed detection, shortages of tests and protective equipment, armed conflict, and weak state control continue to obstruct containment.
Informal crossings assessed to weaken border closure
Erik’s assessmentMigrationUganda–Democratic Republic of the Congo border
“Closing its six official border posts will do little to contain the much heavier flow of traffic that crosses it on informal footpaths and landing sites.”
Closing official posts will have limited containment value because substantial movement continues along informal footpaths and landing sites across the approximately 880-kilometer border.
UnverifiedMigrationUganda–Democratic Republic of the Congo border and Kampala
“Uganda closed its border with DRC after confirming seven Ebola cases from the latest outbreak - which originated in DRC's Ituri province - in Kampala.”
Uganda closed its six official border posts with the Democratic Republic of the Congo after confirming seven Ebola cases in Kampala linked by the post to an outbreak originating in DRC’s Ituri province.
Official border closure assessed as unlikely to halt informal movement
Erik’s assessmentMigrationUganda–Democratic Republic of the Congo border
The border is around 545 miles (880 km) long and poorly policed, so closing its six official border posts will do little to contain the much heavier flow of traffic that crosses it on informal footpaths and landing sites.
Closing six official crossings will have limited effect because substantial cross-border traffic uses informal paths and landing sites.
Uganda closes official DRC border crossings after Ebola cases
UnverifiedMigrationUganda–Democratic Republic of the Congo border and Kampala
Uganda closed its border with DRC after confirming seven Ebola cases from the latest outbreak - which originated in DRC's Ituri province - in Kampala.
Uganda closed its border with the Democratic Republic of the Congo after confirming seven Ebola cases in Kampala linked to an outbreak originating in the DRC’s Ituri province.
Delayed Ebola detection amid insecurity and testing shortfalls
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityIturi province and Uganda
This outbreak originated in DRC's insurgency-ridden Ituri province, which has been run by a military government under a "state of siege" since 2021.
750 suspected cases and 177 suspected deaths, with cases in DRC and Uganda. Conflict-related governance conditions in Ituri and test kits unable to detect the Bundibugyo species contributed to delayed identification and response.
Reported Ituri Ebola outbreak is linked to ADF-related containment risk
Erik’s assessmentTerrorismIturi province, including Rwampara and Mongwalu
It could be hard to contain in Ituri, where the government has failed to contain an Allied Democratic Forces jihadist insurgency.
Africa CDC declared an Ebola outbreak with 246 reported cases and 65 deaths, mainly in two gold-mining towns. The Allied Democratic Forces insurgency and limited government control could complicate containment.
U.S. Treasury sanctions former President Joseph Kabila
UnverifiedU.S. strategic interestsDemocratic Republic of the Congo
The U.S. Treasury slapped sanctions on former Congolese President Joseph Kabila for his support of the Rwanda-backed M23 rebels stoking conflict in eastern DRC.
Washington sanctioned Kabila over support for Rwanda-backed M23 rebels and that President Félix Tshisekedi’s government welcomed the action. Kabila had not publicly responded.
DRC plans paramilitary guard for critical-mineral sector
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesKatanga and mining provinces
DRC's General Inspectorate of Mines (IGM) announced a new paramilitary "mining guard" to secure critical mineral mining sites and transport routes.
The General Inspectorate of Mines announced a $100 million mining guard program targeting 20,000 recruits and eventual deployment across 22 provinces. An initial 2,500 to 3,000 personnel are said to be scheduled for Katanga in December, with U.S. and UAE investment partnerships helping fund the program.
Erik’s assessmentStrategic competitionDemocratic Republic of the Congo
70% of global cobalt production comes from DRC and the other 30% is generally costlier to extract, so they're stuck working with Kinshasa and its escalating demands.
Miners have little leverage against Kinshasa's increasing demands because the DRC accounts for 70% of global cobalt production and alternative supply is generally more expensive.
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesDemocratic Republic of the Congo
The new decree forces cobalt miners operating in DRC - including China's CMOC, Huayou, and Sicomines as well as Glencore and the Eurasian Resources Group - to contribute 10% of their cobalt export volume to the reserve.
ARECOMS created a state cobalt reserve and ordered miners to contribute 10% of export volume. Cobalt not exported before quarterly deadlines will be forfeited to the reserve.
Parallel U.S. and Chinese mineral initiatives in the DRC
UnverifiedStrategic competitionMutoshi, Democratic Republic of the Congo
The DRC is clearly attempting to hedge its bets.
Virtus Metals completed a $30 million acquisition of Chemaf with U.S. government support, becoming the DRC’s largest non-Chinese cobalt miner while assuming substantial financing and operating challenges. A DRC-China pact covering geological data and local mineral processing, portraying Kinshasa as hedging between partners.
Kabila warns political confrontation could descend into open conflict
Erik’s assessmentPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
warning of the "Sudanization" of DRC - i.e., of political dispute that descends into open conflict.
Kabila's reported warning of the DRC's “Sudanization” is an assessment that the political dispute could become an open conflict. He is back in M23-controlled Goma and did not rule out seeking power again.
Kabila accuses Tshisekedi of attempted assassination
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityGoma
Kabila now accuses Tshisekedi of trying to assassinate him in a drone strike on Goma earlier this month and slammed "Tshisekedi’s tyranny," warning of the "Sudanization" of DRC.
Former president Joseph Kabila accused President Félix Tshisekedi of targeting him in a drone strike on Goma. The government accuses Kabila of leading the Rwanda-backed M23 rebellion and that he has been convicted of treason and sentenced to death.
Kinshasa and M23 offer conflicting accounts of Rubaya mine disaster
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesRubaya coltan mine
Congolese authorities reported that a landslide at DRC's Rubaya coltan mine killed at least 200 artisanal miners, including around 70 children. The M23... disputed Kinshasa's official account, saying that it was government "bombings"... and claiming that "simply about five" people died.
Congolese authorities attributed at least 200 deaths, including about 70 children, to a landslide at Rubaya. M23 instead blamed government bombing; approximately five deaths.
Glencore makes initial cobalt export under DRC quota system
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesDemocratic Republic of the Congo
Glencore became the first company to export cobalt from DRC under the country's new quota framework.
Glencore exported a small test shipment of cobalt under the DRC’s new quota framework while retaining a large stockpile. Limited exports by Glencore and other miners indicate that the rules remain opaque or difficult to follow.
Rwanda-backed M23 forces advanced toward Uvira and that approximately 200,000 civilians fled fighting after a U.S.-brokered DRC-Rwanda ceasefire. Competing accusations from the Congolese and Rwandan governments, including unsupported claims about Rwandan weapons and troop deployments.
Analysts identify new missiles, drones and jammers in M23 operations
UnverifiedActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Analysts also spotted signs that the rebels used freshly-supplied Rwandan surface-to-air missiles, armed drones, and jammers.
Analysts observed indications that M23 used recently supplied Rwandan surface-to-air missiles, armed drones and electronic jammers. No supporting public source was supplied.
M23 captures Luvungi after receiving reinforcements
UnverifiedActive conflictLuvungi
Local reports suggest the M23 is bringing in reinforcements from Rwanda, and leveraged the added troop strength to capture the village of Luvungi near the Burundian border.
Local reports that M23 brought in reinforcements from Rwanda and captured Luvungi near the Burundian border, shortly after Rwanda and the DRC reaffirmed a U.S.-brokered peace agreement.
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
From what I can tell, the new agreement adds absolutely nothing to what they'd already agreed... while continuing to punt the thornier issues... further into the future.
The framework adds little to previous commitments and postpones difficult questions involving control of M23-held territory, displaced-person resettlement and humanitarian access. The author considers the two-week negotiating timetable unrealistic.
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictDemocratic Republic of the Congo
the new agreement adds absolutely nothing to what they'd already agreed… while continuing to punt the thornier issues
The framework adds little to prior commitments and postpones disputes over M23-held territory, displaced-person resettlement, and humanitarian access. Delegates allowed two weeks to address six remaining chapters, a timeline the author considers unrealistic.
UnverifiedActive conflictDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC and Rwanda-backed M23 rebels signed a new ceasefire framework in Qatar.
The DRC and Rwanda-backed M23 rebels signed a new ceasefire framework in Qatar, including plans related to prisoner exchanges and a ceasefire oversight body.
China's Twangiza Mining declared force majeure after a drone strike took out power at its South Kivu gold mine.
Twangiza Mining declared force majeure after a drone strike cut power to its South Kivu mine. Rwanda-backed M23 rebels occupied the site in May and removed about $70 million in gold and $5 million in equipment and materials for transfer through Rwanda.
Limited additional damage is likely to DRC peace process
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictDemocratic Republic of the Congo
the death sentence is unlikely to ever be carried out, and the peace process is already so broken that a vindictive verdict against Kabila is unlikely to do much further damage.
Kabila’s conviction was probably politically motivated but is unlikely to be carried out or substantially worsen an already impaired peace process concerning the conflict in eastern DRC.
DRC military court sentences Joseph Kabila to death
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
Some Congo watchers - especially those aligned with former president Joseph Kabila - expressed concern that the death sentence a military court handed Kabila on Tuesday will derail the bumbling and half-hearted peace process that DRC and the M23 / Rwanda entered into over the summer.
A military court sentenced former president Joseph Kabila to death and that some observers fear the verdict could undermine the DRC-M23/Rwanda peace process.
DRC declared a new Ebola outbreak in its south-central Kasai province, which borders Angola.
The DRC declared an Ebola outbreak in Kasai province, with 15 deaths and 28 suspected cases. This is the country’s first outbreak since 2022 and Kasai’s first since 2008; authorities maintain treatments and vaccines for deployment.
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Both sides insist they're still serious about talking peace, but they've ignored self-set deadlines to resume talks by Aug. 8 and to finalize a ceasefire by Aug. 18, and have no additional motivation to seal a deal now.
Neither the DRC nor M23 currently has additional motivation to finalize an agreement, notwithstanding their stated commitment to peace talks.
Survivor claims of Rwandan military involvement with M23
UnverifiedActive conflictAreas near Virunga National Park
Survivors reported that some of the M23 attackers wore Rwandan military uniforms and spoke with Rwandan accents, corroborating multiple longstanding reports that Rwandan troops are actively involved in the M23's atrocities.
Survivors reported that some attackers wore Rwandan military uniforms and spoke with Rwandan accents. This is supporting allegations of direct Rwandan involvement, which Rwanda’s president denies.
Allegation that M23 executed more than 140 civilians
UnverifiedActive conflictAreas near Virunga National Park
Human Rights Watch reported that Rwanda-backed M23 rebels summarily executed over 140 civilians in ethnic Hutu areas near Virunga National Park during July 2025.
Rwanda-backed M23 fighters summarily executed more than 140 civilians in ethnic Hutu areas during July 2025. M23 disputed that those killed were civilian farmers.
The UN counted at least 319 civilian deaths from M23 massacres between July 9 and 21.
Rwanda-backed M23 escalated violence after a June 19 ceasefire and killed at least 319 civilians in North Kivu from July 9 through July 21. The Congolese and Rwandan presidents remain due to discuss the truce.
DRC nears tourism sponsorship agreement with FC Barcelona
UnverifiedStrategic competitionDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC is close to finalizing a four-year football (soccer) sponsorship deal to pay FC Barcelona €10.0 to 11.5 million... per year.
The DRC was close to a four-year agreement paying FC Barcelona €10 million to €11.5 million annually to display “The Heart of Africa” on training and warm-up jerseys. Deals with AS Monaco and AC Milan; the DRC seeks to emulate Rwanda’s football-based tourism promotion.
U.S. pressure as improving prospects for a DRC-Rwanda truce
Erik’s assessmentEnergy and resourcesEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
the outlook this version seems better, given new U.S. pressure to end fighting and pacify the mineral-rich region for investment.
The prospective agreement more favorably than previous ceasefires, attributing the difference to U.S. pressure and interest in stabilizing the mineral-rich region for investment.
Rwandan and Congolese teams draft June 27 peace agreement
DevelopingActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Rwandan and Congolese technical teams are busy drafting a peace agreement to end fighting in eastern DRC, and Presidents Kagame and Tshisekedi are slated to sign the truce next Friday (June 27).
Technical teams were drafting an agreement intended to end fighting in eastern DRC, with Presidents Paul Kagame and Félix Tshisekedi expected to sign it on June 27.
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Rwanda's Pres. Kagame implausibly denies sending troops into DRC, but will nonetheless probably resist orders to withdraw them because he maintains they're necessary to counter vague threats from Hutu militias.
Kagame will probably oppose an order to withdraw Rwandan forces, citing his stated concern about Hutu militias. This is the speaker’s interpretation rather than corroborated reporting.
U.S. draft links DRC ceasefire to Rwandan troop withdrawal
UnverifiedActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
A new draft of a U.S. proposal for a Rwanda-DRC peace deal demands that Rwanda fully withdraw its troops from eastern DRC as a precondition for a ceasefire.
A new draft U.S. peace proposal requires Rwanda to withdraw all troops from eastern DRC before a ceasefire.
Meanwhile, M23 confirmed yesterday that former Congolese president Joseph Kabila has arrived in Goma.
M23 confirmed that former Congolese president Joseph Kabila had arrived in Goma. His return will increase pressure on President Félix Tshisekedi’s government after authorities lifted Kabila’s immunity and moved toward prosecuting him over support for Rwanda and an coup effort.
Amnesty allegations accuse M23 of abuses against detainees
UnverifiedActive conflictGoma and Bukavu
Citing interviews with former detainees, Amnesty said the violations it documented "may amount to war crimes," and called on "regional and international actors [to] pressure Rwanda to cease its support for M23."
Amnesty International as alleging that M23 tortured, disappeared and killed detainees in Goma and Bukavu. Amnesty said the documented violations may constitute war crimes and called for international pressure on Rwanda to end its support for M23.
DevelopingActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
DRC and Rwanda expect to submit a draft ceasefire agreement for eastern DRC today. Their temporary truce continues to hold better than their short-lived prior attempts at peace.
The DRC and Rwanda expected to submit a draft ceasefire agreement covering eastern DRC on 3 May and that their temporary truce was holding better than earlier peace attempts.
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC's Attorney General asked the Senate to strip ex-President Kabila of his immunity for his involvement in "war crimes, crimes against humanity and massacres of peaceful civilians and military personnel."
The DRC attorney general asked the Senate to remove former president Joseph Kabila’s immunity over war crimes, crimes against humanity, and massacres. Government allegations connecting Kabila to regional incursions, which he denies.
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Both sides seem skeptical of the truce and ready to resume fighting at any moment. Rwanda and the rebels it backs are not ceding Goma or their other major spoils of war, and the Congolese military warned that it "reserves the right to intervene in the event of any hostile movement likely to compromise the pause in fighting."
Both sides remain skeptical and prepared to resume combat. Rwanda and allied rebels are not relinquishing Goma or other gains, while quoting the Congolese military as reserving the right to respond to hostile movements.
AFC announces support for truce and withdrawal from Walikale
DevelopingActive conflictWalikale
the leaders of the Rwanda-backed rebel umbrella group Alliance Fleuve Congo (which includes the M23) said it supported a truce and announced that its fighters would withdraw from the mining town of Walikale, which they captured the day after Tshisekedi and Kagame met in Doha. •Tshisekedi then kindly asked (but did not order) his troops to observe the ceasefire too.
The Rwanda-backed AFC coalition, which includes M23, supported a ceasefire and announced it would withdraw from Walikale after capturing the mining town following talks between DRC President Félix Tshisekedi and Rwandan President Paul Kagame. Tshisekedi asked Congolese troops to observe the ceasefire without issuing an order.
SADC announces phased troop withdrawal from eastern DRC
DevelopingActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
The Southern African Development Community (SADC) said it will conduct a "phased withdrawal" of its regional troops from eastern DRC, where at least 15 of them have died in recent fighting. •Having failed to keep the peace in eastern DRC, the SADC is now urging a "diplomatic and political solution"
SADC will progressively withdraw its regional troops from eastern DRC after at least 15 troops died in recent fighting. Angola will mediate talks between the DRC and M23 the following week.
Unidentified illness kills at least 53 in northwestern DRC
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityNorthwestern DRC
The mystery disease started with three children who got sick after eating a bat; it has now infected over 430 people and killed at least 53 of them.
An unidentified disease outbreak infected more than 430 people and killed at least 53 after initially appearing in three children who had eaten a bat. Ebola and Marburg were ruled out.
Burundian troops move toward Uvira with pro-Kinshasa forces
UnverifiedActive conflictUvira
local reports noted Burundian soldiers heading to Uvira alongside pro-Kinshasa militias.
Local reports that Burundian soldiers were heading toward Uvira alongside militias aligned with the Congolese government, indicating Burundi’s support for Kinshasa.
Mass displacement and partial normalization in eastern DRC
UnverifiedActive conflictGoma, Bukavu and eastern DRC
The UN's World Food Program estimated that around one million people have been displaced by fighting in eastern DRC in the first two months of 2025.
According to the World Food Programme, an estimate that roughly one million people were displaced by eastern DRC fighting during the first two months of 2025. Questions remain about that estimate by citing reports of life becoming semi-normal in Goma and Bukavu under Rwandan and rebel control.
DRC closed its airspace to Rwandan aircraft - though I'm not sure what good that decree will do when Rwanda already controls eastern DRC's two main airports.
The DRC closed its airspace to Rwandan aircraft. Questions remain about the decree's practical effect and asserts that Rwanda already controls eastern DRC's two main airports.
Large-scale displacement from eastern DRC into Burundi
UnverifiedMigrationEastern DRC and Burundi
The International Rescue Committee reports that at least 40,000 Congolese have fled to Burundi. Prime Minister Judith Suminwa Tuluka told the UN Human Rights Council that 7,000 people have died in recent weeks.
According to the International Rescue Committee, an estimate that at least 40,000 Congolese fled to Burundi. DRC Prime Minister Judith Suminwa Tuluka told the UN Human Rights Council that 7,000 people had died in recent weeks.
Questions remain about durability of DRC cobalt export restrictions
Erik’s assessmentEnergy and resourcesSouthern copper belt
The resulting cobalt byproduct will just be stockpiled in DRC, and - as soon as the export ban is lifted - it will flood the market, crashing prices again. Some analysts are suggesting the export ban could harm DRC's long-term production potential.
Continued copper and nickel production will create cobalt stockpiles that could depress prices after the ban ends. Analysis that regulatory uncertainty could push buyers toward alternative producers such as Indonesia.
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesSouthern copper belt
DRC surprised the cobalt market with a new four-month ban on exports of the metal - 77% of which is produced in DRC.
The DRC introduced a four-month cobalt export ban intended to support prices after a roughly 25% annual decline amid weak demand and excess supply. The country produces 77% of global cobalt.
Ugandan troops invaded Bunia in the north and called on Congolese forces there to surrender their weapons within 24 hours. The Ugandans appear to be heading for Butembo, and are attacking all Congolese army positions along the way.
Ugandan troops entered Bunia, demanded that Congolese forces disarm within 24 hours and were attacking army positions while moving toward Butembo.
UnverifiedActive conflictBukavu, Kamanyo and Uvira
After capturing Bukavu over the weekend, Rwandan troops are continuing south and captured Kamanyo yesterday. Their next target could be the city of Uvira.
Rwandan troops captured Kamanyo after taking Bukavu and identifies Uvira as a possible next target. The operations are an effort to seize Congolese territory.
Questions remain about Apple’s ability to guarantee mineral origins
Erik’s assessmentEnergy and resourcesGlobal mineral supply chain
I.e., short of capturing the entire supply chain (which Apple doesn't do), there's no way Apple can guarantee its minerals aren't coming from DRC.
Tantalum, tungsten and tin from different countries are mixed during smelting and pass through intermediaries, making it impossible for Apple to guarantee that its products contain no minerals originating in the DRC without controlling the entire supply chain.
Apple halts purchases of minerals traceable to DRC and Rwanda
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesDemocratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda
Following DRC's lawsuit accusing Apple subsidiaries of using conflict minerals from DRC, Apple said it would stop buying minerals that can be traced back to DRC and Rwanda.
Apple announced that it would stop buying minerals traceable to the DRC and Rwanda after the DRC filed a lawsuit accusing Apple subsidiaries of using conflict minerals.
UN mandate review and DRC-Rwanda talks anticipated
UnverifiedActive conflictEastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
The UN Security Council expects to extend UN peacekeepers' mandate in eastern DRC for another year during a review today. Meanwhile, Angola will host - and mediate - another round of peace talks between DRC and Rwanda starting tomorrow.
The UN Security Council was expected to review an extension of the eastern DRC peacekeeping mandate, while Angola prepared to mediate talks addressing M23 and FDLR withdrawal and disbandment.
CMOC exceeded annual cobalt target in first three quarters of 2024
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesDemocratic Republic of the Congo
in just the first three quarters of 2024, CMOC produced nearly 85,000 tons of cobalt.
Chinese mining company CMOC produced nearly 85,000 tons of cobalt from its DRC mines during the first three quarters of 2024, surpassing its annual target of 60,000–70,000 tons.
UnverifiedU.S. strategic interestsDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC will get its first 100,000 doses of mpox vaccines today, followed by a second shipment on Saturday. The logistics of administering vaccines across the country will be much more complicated than getting doses to Kinshasa: the earliest vaccinations could start is Oct. 8.
The DRC was due to receive an initial 100,000 mpox vaccine doses on September 5, 2024, followed by another shipment on Saturday. Distribution beyond Kinshasa is a logistical challenge; vaccinations could begin no earlier than October 8.
Inmates at Kinshasa's Makala prison attempted a jailbreak early yesterday under the cover of a large fire, but guards quickly regained control by shooting at least 24 prisoners dead. Another 80 or more died in the stampede or from smoke inhalation.
Inmates attempted to escape Makala prison during a fire and that guards killed at least 24 prisoners. At least 80 more people died in a stampede or from smoke inhalation.
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesDemocratic Republic of the Congo
Mines Minister Kizito Pakabomba also said the deal breached Chemaf's agreements with Gecamines, and on Friday the full council of ministers recommended blocking the sale.
Gecamines and Mines Minister Kizito Pakabomba argued that the proposed sale of Chemaf’s copper-cobalt assets to China’s Norin Mining breached existing agreements. The council of ministers recommended blocking the transaction.
Zambia and DRC have already agreed to reopen their shared border following a brief trade spat.
The Democratic Republic of the Congo and Zambia agreed to reopen their border after a three-day trade dispute, citing their mutual dependence on bilateral commerce.
Separate reports of gunfire near government buildings
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityPalais de la Nation area
There were also reports of heavy gunfire near important buildings like the Palais de la Nation, which houses Pres. Tshisekedi's offices, but those seem unrelated.
Reports of heavy gunfire near important buildings, including the Palais de la Nation, while stating that the incident appeared unrelated to the attempt at the Kabila residence.
Olive Lembe Kabila alleges attempted attack on family residence
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityKabila family home
dozens of youth - linked to a militia with ties to the ruling Union for Democracy and Social Progress party - tried to break into their family home "to physically eliminate me"
Former first lady Olive Lembe Kabila said dozens of youths linked to a militia associated with the ruling Union for Democracy and Social Progress attempted to enter the family home to physically eliminate her.
UnverifiedActive conflictDemocratic Republic of the Congo
A DRC military court sentenced 25 soldiers to death for "fleeing the enemy, dissipating munitions of war and violating orders" after running away from a battle with M23 rebels.
A military court sentenced 25 soldiers to death after they fled a battle with M23; the Rwanda-backed rebel group had recently captured several strategic towns.
Chinese company agrees to acquire Congolese cobalt miner Chemaf
UnverifiedEnergy and resourcesEtoile and Mutoshi mining projects
China's Norin Mining agreed to buy struggling Congolese cobalt miner Chemaf for an undisclosed amount.
China’s Norin Mining agreed to acquire Chemaf for an undisclosed amount and plans to invest in the Etoile Phase 2 and Mutoshi projects. The deal would deepen Chinese control over the cobalt supply chain, citing a claimed 70% share of global processing capacity.
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
DRC's new government - including its first-ever female prime minister - was sworn in yesterday after months of delays due to disagreements over appointments.
The DRC installed a new government, including its first female prime minister, after disagreements over appointments caused months of delay.
M23 rebels captured - or "liberated," in their words - the mining city of Rubaya in North Kivu. Rubaya's coltan mines produce about half of DRC's coltan ore supply, containing about ~20% of the total global supply of the critical smartphone mineral tantalum.
M23 captured Rubaya in North Kivu. Rubaya’s mines account for about half of the DRC’s coltan ore and contain roughly 20% of global tantalum supply.
UN peacekeepers ended operations in South Kivu for good this week, leaving MONUSCO active in only North Kivu and Ituri provinces
UN peacekeepers completed their withdrawal from South Kivu, leaving MONUSCO operating in North Kivu and Ituri, with a full departure from the DRC anticipated by year’s end.
Mortar attack kills three Tanzanian SADC troops near Goma
UnverifiedActive conflictNear Goma, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo
Mortar fire killed three Tanzanian troops from the South African Development Community force fighting M23 rebels in eastern DRC.
Mortar fire killed three Tanzanian personnel serving with the Southern African Development Community force fighting M23. It places the attack at the camp where two South African troops were killed in February.
Tshisekedi appoints DRC’s first female prime minister
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityDemocratic Republic of the Congo
Pres. Tshisekedi appointed Judith Suminwa Tuluka to be DRC's first female prime minister. Tuluka was formerly DRC's planning minister, and will now be called upon to craft a plan to bring peace to the restive east of the country.
President Félix Tshisekedi appointed former planning minister Judith Suminwa Tuluka as the DRC’s first female prime minister, with restoring peace in the country’s east among her challenges.