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21 developments across 16 briefings for this place.
Latest linked intelligence
Finance Ministry officials proposed military cuts to contain the fiscal deficit, while Defense Ministry officials sought additional funding. Putin asked officials to identify savings elsewhere before cutting defense.
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Finance Ministry officials proposed military cuts to contain the fiscal deficit, while Defense Ministry officials sought additional funding. Putin asked officials to identify savings elsewhere before cutting defense.
Open source reportGeography
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Moscow dossier
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Moscow
Vladimir Putin began a fifth six-year term and must form a new government under Russian law. Speculation about limited personnel changes, including Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s position.
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Chronology
Bloomberg reported that senior Russian Finance Ministry officials have raised rising alarm over the unsustainable pace of defense spending, and proposed military cuts to freeze the yawning government fiscal deficit.
Finance Ministry officials proposed military cuts to contain the fiscal deficit, while Defense Ministry officials sought additional funding. Putin asked officials to identify savings elsewhere before cutting defense.
Open source reportPutin has given Iran limited intelligence and military support, but he doesn't want to upset Israel, Gulf states, or Pres. Trump by overtly siding with Iran.
Putin has provided Iran limited intelligence and military assistance but is avoiding overt alignment to preserve relations with Israel, Gulf states and President Trump.
Open source reportIran's busy Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi, continued his diplomatic tour with a visit to Moscow to discuss the ongoing war with Pres. Putin.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met President Vladimir Putin in Moscow to discuss the war. Putin declined a request to press President Trump to accept Iran’s proposal concerning the blockades.
Open source reportPres. Putin assembled a group of oligarchs yesterday to ask them to donate part of their largesse to help fund the war effort. At least two quickly agreed.
Putin directly asked Russian oligarchs for contributions and that at least two agreed. It contrasts projected revenue from tax measures with the post's stated annual war expenditure.
Open source reportThe Kremlin denounced reports that it's arming Iran as "false information," which means it's probably true information. The NYT reported that "Moscow sees its aid to Iran as a kind of quid pro quo for American aid to Ukraine."
The Kremlin rejected reports that Russia was arming Iran. According to The New York Times, the view that Moscow regards assistance to Tehran as reciprocal to U.S. assistance for Ukraine.
Open source reportRussia's deputy head of military intelligence, Lt. Gen. Vladimir Alexeyev, was shot several times in an assassination attempt in his apartment building in Moscow this morning. Alexeyev was hospitalized with serious injuries. It's not clear who was behind the attack.
Lt. Gen. Vladimir Alexeyev was shot several times in his apartment building and hospitalized with serious injuries. Responsibility was unclear; its discussion of possible Ukrainian involvement in similar attacks is the speaker's assessment, not evidence identifying the attacker.
Open source reportSeparately, a car bomb killed three people near the site in Moscow where Gen. Fanil Sarvarov was assassinated earlier this week. Russia suspects Ukraine in both attacks.
A car bomb killed three people near the site where Gen. Fanil Sarvarov had been assassinated and says Russia suspects Ukraine in both incidents.
Open source reportSo far Putin has expressed little interest in peace - even on the favorable terms of the current proposal.
That Putin had displayed little interest in peace despite terms characterized is favorable to Russia.
Open source reportThat reprieve will give Trump's envoy, Steve Witkoff, time to meet Pres. Putin in Moscow next week to coax Putin into signing a peace deal.
U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff was expected to meet President Vladimir Putin in Moscow the following week to seek Russian agreement to a peace deal.
Open source reportDespite Putin's theoretical agreement to a summit, the Kremlin is already dragging its feet on making one happen... Analysts say Putin isn't interested in talking to Zelensky except to accept Zelensky's capitulation.
Russian officials’ stated reservations and proposed procedural steps are attempts to delay a Putin-Zelensky meeting; analysts’ view that Putin is not seeking substantive talks short of Ukrainian capitulation.
Open source reportU.S. envoy Steve Witkoff met Pres. Putin in Moscow this week, and Pres. Trump said Witkoff made "great progress" nudging Putin towards a Ukraine ceasefire deal he could agree to.
U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow and that President Donald Trump described the meeting as making “great progress” toward a possible Ukraine ceasefire. Trump and Putin plan to meet, while possible trilateral talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky remain uncertain.
Open source reportMeanwhile, Putin claimed Friday that he's ready to talk peace. Putin has made similar statements before, only to backtrack when the idea moves forward and then shrug off blame for the resulting impasse.
Putin has previously reversed similar statements; Russian messaging is shifting responsibility for delays toward Ukraine and the United States.
Open source reportHaving secured Ukraine's tentative agreement to Pres. Trump's 30-day ceasefire proposal, U.S. officials landed in Moscow to pitch the plan to Russia. •Russia seems lukewarm on the proposal. A Kremlin aide called it "nothing more than a short reprieve for Ukrainian forces"
Ukraine tentatively accepted a U.S. proposal for a 30-day ceasefire and that U.S. officials traveled to Moscow to present it. A Kremlin aide characterized the plan as a short reprieve for Ukrainian forces, while Russia was said to have submitted demands that would need to be met before it agreed.
Open source reportU.S. officials tried to dissuade Ukraine from targeting the general on Russian soil out of concern that such a high-profile assassination could provoke Pres. Putin to lash out in revenge.
U.S. officials tried to dissuade Ukraine from targeting Kirillov on Russian soil because of concern over possible Russian retaliation.
Open source reportUkraine claimed responsibility for yesterday's assassination of Russian general Igor Kirillov in Moscow, justifying the hit as retribution for orchestrating the "massive use of banned chemical weapons" against Ukraine
Ukraine claimed responsibility for the assassination of Russian General Igor Kirillov, describing it as retaliation for his role in the use of banned chemical weapons against Ukraine.
Open source reportRussia offered the Assads asylum in exchange for guarantees Pres. Assad secured from rebels to keep Russian military assets in Syria safe for long enough to allow Russia to collect them.
Russia offered the Assad family asylum in exchange for assurances that Russian military assets in Syria would remain safe long enough to be retrieved.
Open source reportMoscow complained about the ATACMS barrage, calling it a "qualitatively new phase of the Western war" and promising to retaliate "accordingly."
Moscow characterized the Bryansk strike as a new phase of Western involvement in the war and promised to retaliate accordingly.
Open source reportIndia's PM Modi will meet Pres. Putin in Moscow today. It will be Modi's first visit to Russia since Russia invaded Ukraine - and his first trip abroad since he was reelected.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi planned to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin during his first visit to Russia since the invasion of Ukraine and his first foreign trip since reelection. Modi hoped to secure the release of Indian nationals whom India says were duped into serving in Russia’s military.
Open source reportOther analysts believe it merely indicates the Kremlin is returning to a Cold War level of war spending and needs better budgeting to fight the long war Ukraine has turned out to be.
The update favors the interpretation that Belousov’s appointment reflects rising defense expenditure and a need for economic management and innovation, rather than clear evidence of instability within Putin’s government.
Open source reportPutin appointed a civilian economist, Andrei Belousov, to replace Shoigu as defense minister... the Kremlin said Gerasimov will stay in his post.
Putin moved Sergei Shoigu from defense minister to lead the national security council, nominated civilian economist Andrei Belousov as defense minister, and retained Gen. Valery Gerasimov as chief of the general staff.
Open source reportPres. Putin was inaugurated for a fifth six-year term as Russia's head of state.
Vladimir Putin began a fifth six-year term and must form a new government under Russian law. Speculation about limited personnel changes, including Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu’s position.
Open source report