July 24, 2026 Unverified
Trump proposed using frozen Iranian funds for shipping damages Approximate: country centroidJuly 24, 2026 Unverified
Iranian rejection of U.S. ceasefire proposal Approximate: country centroidJuly 20, 2026 Unverified
Explosions disabled two oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz Approximate: country centroidJuly 16, 2026 Unverified
Iran threatened regional infrastructure retaliation Approximate: country centroidJuly 16, 2026 Unverified
Conflicting Iranian signals on negotiations Approximate: country centroidJuly 15, 2026 Unverified
U.S. renewed strikes and blockade against Iran Approximate: country centroidJuly 15, 2026 Unverified
Trump threatened Iranian power plants and bridges Approximate: country centroidJuly 15, 2026 Unverified
Trump withdrew proposed Hormuz transit fees Approximate: country centroidJuly 9, 2026 Unverified
Hardline resistance and attacks within Iranian politics Approximate: country centroidJuly 9, 2026 Unverified
Report of voluntary mourning and wartime defiance in Iran Approximate: country centroidJuly 8, 2026 Unverified
U.S. struck Iranian military targets Approximate: country centroidJuly 8, 2026 Unverified
Iran struck two commercial vessels over transit rules Approximate: country centroidJuly 8, 2026 Unverified
U.S. revoked Iran oil-sales waiver Approximate: country centroidJuly 8, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Waiver withdrawal assessed as a risk to ceasefire progress Approximate: country centroidJuly 6, 2026 Unverified
Iran holds funeral events for Ali Khamenei Approximate: country centroidJuly 6, 2026 Unverified
Questions remain about organic support behind Khamenei funeral turnout Approximate: country centroidJuly 6, 2026 Unverified
Mojtaba Khamenei remains absent from public view Approximate: country centroidJuly 3, 2026 Unverified
U.S. opposed possible Israeli targeting of Iranian negotiators Approximate: country centroidJuly 3, 2026 Unverified
Iran rejected funds-for-Hormuz-tolls proposal Approximate: country centroidJuly 2, 2026 Unverified
Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S. airstrike Approximate: country centroidJuly 2, 2026 Unverified
Iranian negotiator warns against miscalculation during funeral processions Approximate: country centroidJuly 1, 2026 Unverified
Iranian parliamentary speaker conditions final U.S. talks Approximate: country centroidJune 23, 2026 Unverified
Limited tanker traffic amid conflicting Hormuz claims Approximate: country centroidJune 16, 2026 Unverified
Private Iranian criticism of the emerging agreement Approximate: country centroidJune 12, 2026 Unverified
Trump canceled planned Iran strikes and announced progress toward a deal Approximate: country centroidJune 12, 2026 Unverified
Iran threatened regional assets linked to Elon Musk Approximate: country centroidJune 3, 2026 Unverified
U.S. struck Qeshm Island after loss of MQ-1 Reaper Approximate: country centroidJune 2, 2026 Unverified
Reports link Lebanon intervention to Iranian ultimatum Approximate: country centroidMay 29, 2026 Unverified
Tentative 60-day U.S.–Iran ceasefire framework Approximate: country centroidMay 29, 2026 Unverified
U.S. and Iranian accounts differ over proposed terms Approximate: country centroidMay 26, 2026 Unverified
U.S. struck Iranian missile sites and mine-laying boats Approximate: country centroidMay 26, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Doubt remains over reported Iran framework will end the war Approximate: country centroidMay 22, 2026 Unverified
Trump delayed a planned attack on Iran during negotiations Approximate: country centroidMay 15, 2026 Unverified
Iran approved passage for some Chinese ships Approximate: country centroidMay 13, 2026 Unverified
Iran regained access to most missile infrastructure Approximate: country centroidMay 13, 2026 Unverified
Saudi Arabia struck Iran before de-escalation talks Approximate: country centroidMay 12, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Trump casts doubt on survival of temporary Iran ceasefire Approximate: country centroidMay 12, 2026 Unverified
Iranian counterproposal seeks reparations and sanctions relief Approximate: country centroidMay 6, 2026 Unverified
Trump paused commercial-vessel escort initiative Approximate: country centroidMay 6, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Escort difficulties and mediation drove pause Approximate: country centroidMay 6, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Iran is seeking face-saving de-escalation Approximate: country centroidMay 4, 2026 Unverified
Iran sent Washington a 14-point proposal Approximate: country centroidMay 4, 2026 Unverified
Trump announced U.S.-guided passage through Strait of Hormuz Approximate: country centroidMay 4, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Escort initiative characterized as a test of Iranian risk tolerance Approximate: country centroidMay 4, 2026 Unverified
U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions over Iranian passage tolls Approximate: country centroidApril 30, 2026 Unverified
U.S.-Iran talks stalled amid disagreement over war and blockades Approximate: country centroidApril 28, 2026 Unverified
Iran offers Hormuz-focused proposal to the United States Approximate: country centroidApril 24, 2026 Unverified
IRGC generals have assumed wartime control in Iran Approximate: country centroidApril 24, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Iran’s new leadership is economically focused but coercive Approximate: country centroidApril 22, 2026 Unverified
Trump extended Iran ceasefire while retaining port blockade Approximate: country centroidApril 22, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Unresolved nuclear disputes reduce prospects for an agreement Approximate: country centroidApril 9, 2026 Unverified
Continued Iranian control and a planned Hormuz transit charge Approximate: country centroidApril 8, 2026 Unverified
United States and Iran agreed to two-week ceasefire Approximate: country centroidApril 8, 2026 Unverified
Report that Mojtaba Khamenei backed truce Approximate: country centroidApril 8, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Reported approval is evidence of pragmatism Approximate: country centroidApril 8, 2026 Unverified
Market rally and continued shipping caution Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Developing
Trump sets April 7 deadline for Iran to reopen Hormuz Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Unverified
Downed U.S. airman was rescued in southern Iran Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Developing
Three countries offer U.S.–Iran ceasefire plan Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Unverified
IRGC intelligence chief’s death comes from likely Israeli strike Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Unverified
13 ships crossed Hormuz during preceding week Approximate: country centroidApril 6, 2026 Unverified
Iran imposes passage fees and restricts Hormuz traffic Approximate: country centroidApril 2, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Trump quoted predicting Iran war will end within weeks Approximate: country centroidApril 2, 2026 Unverified
Competing Iranian threats and truce signals Approximate: country centroidApril 2, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Assessment of lower but more effective Iranian strike activity Approximate: country centroidApril 1, 2026 Unverified
Parties are considering a phased end to the Iran war Approximate: country centroidMarch 30, 2026 Unverified
Iran negotiations could begin this week Approximate: country centroidMarch 27, 2026 Unverified
Trump extends Iran deadline to April 6 Approximate: country centroidMarch 27, 2026 Unverified
Iran charges some vessels for Hormuz transit Approximate: country centroidMarch 9, 2026 Unverified
Israel struck Iranian fuel depots Approximate: country centroidMarch 9, 2026 Unverified
Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran’s Supreme Leader Approximate: country centroidMarch 5, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Few signs of anticipated defections or organized uprising in Iran Approximate: country centroidMarch 5, 2026 Erik’s assessment
Analysts doubt Kurdish front could topple Iranian government Approximate: country centroidMarch 2, 2026 Unverified
U.S.-Israeli strikes killed Iran’s supreme leader Approximate: country centroidMarch 2, 2026 Developing
Accelerated Iranian leadership succession Approximate: country centroidMarch 2, 2026 Unverified
Regime-change appeal comes from President Trump Approximate: country centroidFebruary 5, 2026 Unverified
Iran opens portal for names omitted from protest-death list Approximate: country centroidDecember 30, 2025 Unverified
Tehran protests over inflation Approximate: country centroidDecember 30, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Further Iranian inflation assessed as more likely than major policy change Approximate: country centroidDecember 24, 2025 Unverified
U.S. and Iran remain divided over nuclear-talk terms Approximate: country centroidNovember 21, 2025 Unverified
Iran rejected IAEA demand for nuclear information Approximate: country centroidNovember 21, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Analysts cited as suspecting nuclear work at Pickax Mountain Approximate: country centroidNovember 10, 2025 Developing
Tehran rations water as drought deepens Approximate: country centroidSeptember 19, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Limited progress in talks to prevent Iran sanctions snapback Approximate: country centroidSeptember 10, 2025 Unverified
Iran agrees on conditional resumption of IAEA inspections Approximate: country centroidAugust 7, 2025 Unverified
Iran closes offices amid water and electricity shortages Approximate: country centroidJuly 25, 2025 Unverified
Iran will permit a limited IAEA visit without site access Approximate: country centroidJuly 19, 2025 Unverified
Intelligence assessment of major damage to Iranian nuclear facilities Approximate: country centroidJuly 19, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Iran’s nuclear-weapons capability may face a prolonged setback Approximate: country centroidJuly 19, 2025 Unverified
Iranian president was injured while escaping Israeli strike Approximate: country centroidJuly 16, 2025 Unverified
Aug. 31 deadline for an Iran nuclear agreement Approximate: country centroidJuly 7, 2025 Unverified
Khamenei reappears publicly after war with Israel Approximate: country centroidJune 25, 2025 Unverified
Iran signaled readiness for renewed U.S. nuclear talks Approximate: country centroidJune 19, 2025 Unverified
Khamenei rejects surrender demand while diplomats leave talks open Approximate: country centroidJune 19, 2025 Unverified
Israel seeks U.S. capabilities for a strike on Fordow Approximate: country centroidJune 16, 2025 Unverified
Destruction of Natanz above-ground plant comes from Israeli strike Approximate: country centroidJune 4, 2025 Unverified
Witkoff proposes interim uranium-enrichment terms Approximate: country centroidJune 4, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Proposal characterized as bridge toward ending enrichment in Iran Approximate: country centroidMay 21, 2025 Unverified
Report of possible Israeli preparations to strike Iran Approximate: country centroidMay 16, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Trump says United States and Iran are nearing a nuclear agreement Approximate: country centroidMay 16, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Iran describes talks as useful as Trump warns of violence if they fail Approximate: country centroidMay 3, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Iran is unlikely to make new sanctions a deal-breaker Approximate: country centroidMarch 20, 2025 Unverified
Iranian officials signal limited openness to talks Approximate: country centroidMarch 10, 2025 Erik’s assessment
Iranian leaders signal differing openness to negotiations Approximate: country centroidMarch 10, 2025 Unverified
Trump proposes renewed nuclear talks with Iran Approximate: country centroidDecember 24, 2024 Unverified
Katz acknowledges Israeli role in Haniyeh killing Approximate: country centroidDecember 18, 2024 Unverified
IRGC controls up to half of Iranian oil exports Approximate: country centroidDecember 18, 2024 Erik’s assessment
IRGC oil role is linked to sanctions evasion and foreign operations Approximate: country centroidNovember 12, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Analysts speculate about a future Trump administration agreement with Iran Approximate: country centroidNovember 7, 2024 Unverified
Iranian rial fell to 703,000 per U.S. dollar Approximate: country centroidNovember 7, 2024 Unverified
Iranian hopes for negotiations under Trump Approximate: country centroidNovember 1, 2024 Unverified
Senior Iranian officials threatened a response to Israeli strikes Approximate: country centroidNovember 1, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Tehran may be reconsidering restraint toward Israel Approximate: country centroidOctober 30, 2024 Unverified
Satellite imagery indicates damage at Iranian military sites Approximate: country centroidOctober 30, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Iran may be downplaying strike damage Approximate: country centroidOctober 28, 2024 Unverified
Israel struck Iranian air defenses near energy sites Approximate: country centroidOctober 22, 2024 Unverified
Foreign airlines pause Iran flights Approximate: country centroidOctober 17, 2024 Unverified
Unconfirmed reports allege Iranian guards killed Afghan border crossers Approximate: country centroidOctober 11, 2024 Unverified
Iran warns against attack on nuclear facilities Approximate: country centroidOctober 11, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Iranian warnings are deterrence messaging Approximate: country centroidOctober 9, 2024 Unverified
Iran warns Gulf countries against supporting an attack Approximate: country centroidAugust 28, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Khamenei remarks interpreted as limited opening for U.S. talks Approximate: country centroidAugust 21, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Iran may have delayed retaliation against Israel Approximate: country centroidAugust 13, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Expectation of significant Iranian retaliation Approximate: country centroidAugust 2, 2024 Unverified
Account of pre-positioned explosive used to kill Haniyeh Approximate: country centroidJuly 11, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Pezeshkian assessed as constrained by Iran’s clerical establishment Approximate: country centroidJuly 11, 2024 Unverified
Pezeshkian signals openness to U.S. negotiations Approximate: country centroidJuly 9, 2024 Unverified
Pezeshkian wins Iran’s presidential runoff Approximate: country centroidJuly 9, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Limits on Pezeshkian’s Western outreach Approximate: country centroidJuly 5, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Iranian presidential runoff described as difficult to predict Approximate: country centroidJune 28, 2024 Unverified
Iranian presidential election opens amid voter dissatisfaction Approximate: country centroidJune 27, 2024 Unverified
Two conservative candidates withdraw from Iran’s election Approximate: country centroidJune 27, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Split hardline vote could benefit Pezeshkian Approximate: country centroidJune 24, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Candidate restrictions could divide Iran’s conservative vote Approximate: country centroidJune 6, 2024 Unverified
IAEA board censures Iran over inspector access Approximate: country centroidJune 6, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Little pressure from IAEA resolution Approximate: country centroidMay 21, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Technical failure assessed as plausible in Raisi helicopter crash Approximate: country centroidMay 21, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Clerical continuity after Raisi’s death Approximate: country centroidApril 30, 2024 Unverified
Leaked document implicates Iranian guards in protester's death Approximate: country centroidApril 26, 2024 Unverified
Iranian rapper Toomaj Salehi received death sentence Approximate: country centroidApril 24, 2024 Unverified
Israel chose a limited strike on Isfahan Approximate: country centroidApril 22, 2024 Unverified
Israeli strike hit an Iranian defensive battery Approximate: country centroidApril 22, 2024 Unverified
Israeli media reports cited possible Rampage missile use Approximate: country centroidApril 19, 2024 Unverified
Limited Israeli strike inside Iran Approximate: country centroidApril 19, 2024 Erik’s assessment
Strike characterized as an effort to limit further escalation Approximate: country centroidApril 5, 2024 Unverified
Jaish al-Adl claimed two attacks in southeastern Iran Approximate: country centroid