16 developments across 14 briefings for this place.
16Developments
14Source reports
2024-04-04First seen
2026-05-26Last seen
Evidence mix16 developments
Erik’s assessment6Unverified10
Countries
Sudan
Categories
Active conflict, Political instability, Strategic competition
Coordinates
15.97, 29.83
Latest linked intelligence
Human Rights Watch accused the UAE of funding and training Colombian fighters supporting the RSF, including training at an Emirati military base. The UAE’s denial.
Unverified development · updated through
Latest directly linked development
SudanUnverified
Allegation of UAE support for Colombian fighters in Sudan
Human Rights Watch accused the UAE of funding and training Colombian fighters supporting the RSF, including training at an Emirati military base. The UAE’s denial.
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Sudan dossier
Sudan linked geography
16 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Source archive
0:00Approximate scope
Sudan
Sudan suspended Saudi and Emirati broadcasters
Sudan suspended Al Arabiya, Al Hadath and Sky News Arabia over reporting it considered harmful or unprofessional. It connects the Sky News Arabia action to Sudanese accusations that the UAE supports the Rapid Support Forces, while characterizing the Saudi outlet suspensions as less expected.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Development timeline
Allegation of UAE support for Colombian fighters in Sudan
UnverifiedActive conflictSudan
Human Rights Watch accused the UAE of funding and training Colombian mercenaries fighting alongside the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan's civil war. It's been well documented that Colombian fighters are backing the RSF, but this is the first compelling claim that the UAE hosted Colombians for training at an Emirati military base before deploying them to Sudan. The UAE denied the latest accusations
Human Rights Watch accused the UAE of funding and training Colombian fighters supporting the RSF, including training at an Emirati military base. The UAE’s denial.
Idris peace proposal assessed as unlikely to gain support
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictSudan
Idris's plan is unlikely to gain traction; For the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) to agree to give up their arms and retreat to supervised camps.
The RSF is unlikely to surrender its gains and that Washington will favor a humanitarian truce rather than Idris’s proposal. The claimed U.S. position is not independently corroborated.
Possible implications of RSF gains in western Sudan
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictSudan
That would also boost the odds of a long-term stalemate splitting Sudan in two, with an army-run east and an RSF-controlled west. As always, reality surely lies somewhere between the extremes.
Consolidating RSF control in western Darfur could increase the probability of a long-term stalemate featuring an army-held east and RSF-controlled west, while cautioning that reality likely lies between the competing narratives.
neither the army nor the Rapid Support Forces seem ready to talk peace. Both deny that they're even engaging in indirect talks, and both continue to stock up on weapons
The Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces remain unwilling to negotiate, citing their denials of indirect talks; continued weapons acquisition.
There's credible evidence that the military has committed many horrific crimes of its own... The UN Human Rights Office (OHCHR)'s latest report on Sudan... noted that both sides have escalated attacks near civilian centers in 2025, leading to a near doubling in civilian fatalities in the first six months of this year vs. last year.
According to an OHCHR, report the finding that both sides escalated attacks near civilian centers in 2025, nearly doubling civilian fatalities during the first half of the year compared with the same period in 2024. Serious abuses by Sudan’s military.
Sudan's military leader, Abdel Fatah al-Burhan, appointed former UN official Kamil Idris as the junta's prime minister.
Military leader Abdel Fatah al-Burhan appointed former UN official Kamil Idris, making him Sudan’s first prime minister since the 2021 coup. The African Union welcomed the appointment as movement toward civilian government.
The European Commission and its member states marked the end of this week's high-level summit on the war in Sudan - which excluded both parties fighting in it - with aid pledges totaling €522 million ($600 million).
The European Commission and EU member states pledged €522 million at a summit that excluded both Sudanese belligerents. The amount is roughly double the prior year's EU allocation but remains far below a stated $3.8 billion UN funding gap for 2025.
The European Commission and its member states marked the end of this week's high-level summit on the war in Sudan - which excluded both parties fighting in it - with aid pledges totaling €522 million ($600 million). That's almost exactly double the amount the European Union earmarked for Sudan last year, but it doesn't come close to filling the $3.8 billion gap in additional emergency funding that the UN says Sudan still needs for 2025.
The European Commission and EU member states pledged €522 million in aid while asserting that a $3.8 billion UN emergency-funding gap remained for 2025.
Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) said that it, too, plans to form a new government for Sudan.
The RSF intends to establish a government competing with one the SAF plans to form after retaking Khartoum, potentially formalizing Sudan’s division between the warring factions.
Questions remain about sanctions’ near-term effect on Sudan war
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictSudan
The genocide accusation and attached sanctions won't have much of an immediate effect on the raging war since Hemedti is already well armed. In fact, the move could turn out to be counterproductive if it repels Hemedti from negotiations.
The sanctions are unlikely to alter the war immediately because Dagalo is already well armed and could reduce his willingness to negotiate.
U.S. accused RSF of genocide and imposed sanctions
UnverifiedActive conflictSudan
The U.S. Treasury formally accused the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) of perpetrating genocide in Sudan and slapped additional sanctions on RSF leader Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (aka Hemedti) and seven Emirati companies that have helped him export gold and import weapons.
The U.S. Treasury accused the Rapid Support Forces of genocide and sanctioned RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo and seven Emirati companies involved in gold exports and weapons imports. This is the second U.S. genocide determination concerning Sudan, following the Darfur-era determination involving the Janjaweed.
Sudanese army may delay talks to improve its position
Erik’s assessmentActive conflictSudan
The RSF still controls most of southwest Sudan, and the army likely wants to improve its negotiating position by locking in more territorial gains before talks begin.
The Sudanese army was unwilling to negotiate immediately because it likely sought to secure further territorial gains before entering talks, despite RSF openness to a truce.
UN official calls for an end to foreign weapons transfers into Sudan
UnverifiedStrategic competitionSudan
The UN undersecretary-general for political and peacebuilding affairs called for unspecified countries and third-parties to stop sending weapons to the RSF and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF).
A UN official urged outside actors to stop arming both sides. The UAE and Russia’s Africa Corps support the RSF, while Egypt is aligned with the SAF and Iran is considering providing the SAF with weapons.
UN-backed team alleges possible international crimes in Sudan
UnverifiedActive conflictSudan
“A UN-backed team in Sudan concluded that both sides - the Rapid Support Forces and the military - may have committed war crimes and crimes against humanity.”
A UN-backed team concluded that both the Sudanese military and Rapid Support Forces may have committed war crimes and crimes against humanity, and recommended an arms embargo and UN peacekeeping force.
Sudan's government was offended by what it called "unprofessional reporting and harmful publications" by Saudi and Emirati media outlets and suspended several of them.
Sudan suspended Al Arabiya, Al Hadath and Sky News Arabia over reporting it considered harmful or unprofessional. It connects the Sky News Arabia action to Sudanese accusations that the UAE supports the Rapid Support Forces, while characterizing the Saudi outlet suspensions as less expected.