Russia
Russia scheduled to mark Victory Day on May 9
Russia was due to hold its annual Victory Day commemoration on May 9.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
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The account interprets the warehouse attacks as symbolic efforts to bring the effects of the war home to the Russian population.
Assessment development · updated through
The account interprets the warehouse attacks as symbolic efforts to bring the effects of the war home to the Russian population.
Open source reportGeography
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Russia dossier
31 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Russia
Russia was due to hold its annual Victory Day commemoration on May 9.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
They're also symbolic targets for Ukraine's efforts to disrupt daily Russian life and bring the war home to Russians, whose president has sought to isolate them from the effects of the conflict.
The account interprets the warehouse attacks as symbolic efforts to bring the effects of the war home to the Russian population.
Open source reportUkraine struck two warehouses belonging to the Russian online retailer Wildberries. Pres. Zelensky said the warehouses were being used to "supply sanctioned components for drone production and navigation equipment."
The account alleges Ukraine attacked two warehouses belonging to Russian retailer Wildberries. According to President Zelensky, the claim that the facilities supplied sanctioned drone-production components and navigation equipment.
Open source reportOstanina claimed that almost one-third of Russia's refineries are now offline, which sounds far more dire than Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak's acknowledgement that "certain gas stations" were a little low on fuel.
Legislator Nina Ostanina accused the Russian government of concealing a fuel crisis; nearly one-third of the country’s refineries were offline after Ukrainian long-range strikes. It contrasts this with Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak’s reported acknowledgment of limited station-level shortages.
Open source reportUkraine's long-range strikes on Russian refineries have had such a severe impact on fuel supplies that Moscow is considering importing gasoline from abroad - and subsidizing it
Ukrainian long-range attacks on Russian refineries have disrupted fuel supplies enough for Moscow to consider importing and subsidizing gasoline.
Open source reportthe Kremlin said the hardware display would be toned down this year because of the "operational situation" in Ukraine.
The Kremlin will tone down the military-equipment component of Russia’s May 9 Victory Day parade because of the “operational situation” in Ukraine.
Open source reportU.S. officials will present the new plan to Russia today, but it's bound to fall on deaf ears: Pres. Putin ignored earlier proposals that were far more slanted in his favor, so he's highly unlikely to entertain this fairer one.
The proposal will be rejected, arguing that President Vladimir Putin previously ignored terms characterized as more favorable to Russia.
Open source reportPres. Putin reacted angrily to new U.S. sanctions on Russian oil majors Rosneft and Lukoil, which Pres. Trump imposed in frustration with Putin's refusal to engage in Ukraine ceasefire talks. Putin called the new measures an "unfriendly act"
President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil amid stalled Ukraine ceasefire diplomacy. President Vladimir Putin calling the measures an “unfriendly act.”
Open source reportThe U.S. imposed new sanctions on Russian oil majors Lukoil and Rosneft yesterday
The United States sanctioned Russian oil producers Lukoil and Rosneft and linked the action to Vladimir Putin’s refusal to end the war. The measures are intended to press Moscow toward talks and may encourage Indian refiners to reduce Russian oil purchases.
Open source reportRather, the most punishing new tariffs Trump could impose on Russia are indirect ones that penalize other countries that are still trading with it
Tariffs targeting countries still trading with Russia would be more punitive than direct tariffs because sanctions have already limited Russian exports to the United States.
Open source reportA Russian court sentenced Grigory Melkonyants - the head of the country's only independent election monitor, Golos - to five years in a penal colony for working with an "undesirable organization."
A Russian court sentenced Golos head Grigory Melkonyants to five years in a penal colony for working with the European Network of Election Monitoring Organisations, which Russia designated undesirable. The prosecution is retaliation for Golos documenting election fraud.
Open source reportsome analysts have speculated they're being retrained in modern battle tactics before they return to the front lines.
Analyst speculation that North Korean units could be receiving training in modern battlefield tactics before returning to combat.
Open source reportRussia has since withdrawn the (decimated) North Korean units from the front lines
Russia withdrew decimated North Korean units from front-line operations.
Open source reportthe North Korean soldiers his company fought against in Russia were treated like "cannon fodder" and "would just charge forward from the tree line, like in a World War II movie."
A Ukrainian commander’s account that North Korean soldiers fighting in Russia were treated as expendable and charged forward from tree lines in unconventional assaults.
Open source reportSeparately, unconfirmed reports suggest Australian citizen Oscar Jenkins - who was fighting for Ukraine when Russian troops captured him last year - has died in Russian captivity.
Unconfirmed reports suggested Australian citizen Oscar Jenkins, captured while fighting for Ukraine, had died in Russian captivity. Australia expressed grave concern and threatened strong action if Russian forces killed him.
Open source reportThe State Department designated U.S. citizen Marc Fogel - a former teacher serving a 14-year sentence in Russia for drug smuggling - as "wrongfully detained." Fogel was convicted by the same court that tried Brittney Griner, and U.S. officials speculate that Russia could offer to trade Fogel in a prisoner swap - as it did with Griner.
The State Department designated U.S. citizen and former teacher Marc Fogel as wrongfully detained while he serves a 14-year Russian sentence for drug smuggling. Speculation that Russia could propose a prisoner exchange.
Open source reportA Russian court fined Google 20 undecillion rubles ($2.5 decillion) for removing 17 state-run propaganda channels from YouTube after Russia invaded Ukraine.
A Russian court fined Google 20 undecillion rubles for removing 17 state-run channels from YouTube. The unpayable and escalating penalty is an effective prohibition on Google operating in Russia.
Open source reportNorth Korean soldiers apparently have already joined the war, so we could soon see Ukraine carrying out longer-range strikes inside Russia.
North Korean soldiers had already joined the war; Ukraine could soon conduct longer-range strikes inside Russia.
Open source reportmurdered dissident Alexey Navalny's memoirs (titled "Patriot") come out today. The Economist called the book "a passionate and moving testimony to Russia’s extreme violence."
Alexey Navalny’s memoir, “Patriot,” was released on October 22 and quotes The Economist describing it as testimony to Russia’s violence.
Open source reportWhelan called prison conditions "monotonous and filthy," and said he passed information from fellow prisoners who fought on the front lines in Ukraine along to Western officials using burner phones.
Former U.S. Marine Paul Whelan described Russian prison conditions as “monotonous and filthy” and claimed he used burner phones to relay information from prisoners who had fought in Ukraine to Western officials.
Open source reportI will do everything to make his regime fall as soon as possible.
According to Yulia Navalnaya, a pledge to continue Alexey Navalny’s opposition to President Vladimir Putin and an intention to run for president after Putin leaves power. Russian authorities have accused her of extremism.
Open source report“Ukraine's targeted strikes inside Russia ‘are likely meant to send a signal to allies that despite the war grinding on, Ukraine isn’t beaten.’”
Vox’s assessment that Ukrainian strikes inside Russia are intended partly to reassure allies that Ukraine remains capable and worth supporting.
Open source reportRussia sentenced Alexander Shiplyuk - the director of a physics institute specializing in the hypersonic and supersonic technologies propelling Russian missiles in Ukraine - to 15 years in prison for treason for sharing classified information.
Russia sentenced physics institute director Alexander Shiplyuk to 15 years in prison for sharing classified information. Colleagues and supporters who characterize this and similar prosecutions as punishment for normal scientific exchanges with foreign researchers.
Open source reportIn response to new U.S. sanctions against Russia, Russia permanently banned 92 U.S. citizens... from entering the country.
Russia permanently barred 92 U.S. citizens—including journalists, lawyers, academics and executives—from entry in response to new U.S. sanctions. 14 Wall Street Journal employees among those listed.
Open source reportSome analysts suggested he'll also use Krasikov to train new recruited hitmen to better evade capture.
Analysis that President Vladimir Putin could use Krasikov’s release to emphasize loyalty to Russian agents detained abroad. Speculation that Krasikov could train newly recruited operatives to avoid capture.
Open source reportA Russian court sentenced WSJ journalist Evan Gershkovich to 16 years in prison on bogus espionage charges. Gershkovich probably won't serve all 16 years: Pres. Putin has suggested he could be traded for a high-value Russian prisoner in a swap
A Russian court sentenced Wall Street Journal journalist Evan Gershkovich to 16 years on espionage charges. President Vladimir Putin could seek to exchange him for a high-value Russian prisoner after sentencing.
Open source reportA Russian court issued an arrest warrant for murdered dissident Alexey Navalny's widow, Yulia Navalnaya, for "participating in an extremist community."
A Russian court ordered the arrest of Yulia Navalnaya for participating in an extremist community. It adds that she has lived abroad since 2021 and is editing a prison manuscript by Alexey Navalny for planned U.S. publication.
Open source reportThe ban won't really matter because most MOEX traders have already switched from dollars or euros to Chinese yuan.
The dollar and euro trading restrictions will have limited practical impact because many market participants have shifted to the Chinese yuan.
Open source reportShoigu's demotion... will enjoy a cushy new gig on the National Security Council, but Kremlin insiders leaked that Putin privately upbraided him for the military's failures in Ukraine under his command.
Sergei Shoigu’s move to the National Security Council is a demotion and attributes to unnamed Kremlin insiders a claim that Putin privately criticized him over Russian military failures in Ukraine.
Open source reportRussia arrested a second senior defense official on bribery charges: Lt. Gen. Yury Kuznetsov... is accused of accepting an "exceptionally large bribe"
Lt. Gen. Yury Kuznetsov, head of the Defense Ministry’s main personnel directorate, was arrested and accused of accepting an exceptionally large bribe while overseeing a General Staff directorate responsible for state secrets.
Open source reportUkrainian drones struck two oil depots and a refinery deep inside Russia over the past 24 hours: one was over 700 miles (1,100 km) inside the border.
Ukrainian drones struck two oil depots and a refinery, including one target more than 1,100 kilometers inside Russia. An oil expert’s estimate that attacks had incapacitated more than 10% of Russian refining capacity.
Open source reportRussia celebrates its... victory over Nazi Germany - known as Victory Day in Russia - on Thursday, May 9 too.
Russia was due to hold its annual Victory Day commemoration on May 9.
Open source report