Off Leash Intel · loading
13 developments across 9 briefings for this country.
Latest linked intelligence
Junta leader Mamady Doumbouya imposed an immediate domestic-processing requirement for gold. The measure may be premature because a planned large refinery is unfinished and existing smaller facilities cannot process the country's claimed annual output of about 90 tons.
Unverified development · updated through
Junta leader Mamady Doumbouya imposed an immediate domestic-processing requirement for gold. The measure may be premature because a planned large refinery is unfinished and existing smaller facilities cannot process the country's claimed annual output of about 90 tons.
Open source reportGeography
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Guinea dossier
13 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Guinea
Guinea’s military government signed a memorandum of understanding with Russia’s Rosatom for a proposed floating nuclear power plant.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Guinea's junta leader, Mamady Doumbouya, announced a ban on unrefined gold exports that will require all gold to be processed domestically, effective immediately.
Junta leader Mamady Doumbouya imposed an immediate domestic-processing requirement for gold. The measure may be premature because a planned large refinery is unfinished and existing smaller facilities cannot process the country's claimed annual output of about 90 tons.
Open source reportGuinea's massive Simandou mine almost doubled its iron ore exports in May compared to April, exporting 2.2 million tons through Morebaya port in May against 1.3 million tons in April.
May exports through Morebaya port increased from 1.3 million tons in April to 2.2 million tons. The project sent its first ore to China six months earlier and is rapidly increasing shipments.
Open source reportGuinea - which is by far the world's largest bauxite producer - announced plans to introduce bauxite export controls next month. The new curbs will disproportionately affect China, which receives almost three-quarters of Guinea's exported bauxite and processes it into alumina and aluminum.
Export controls are planned for the following month; China would be disproportionately affected because it receives almost three-quarters of Guinea’s exported bauxite.
Open source reportGuinea's coup leader-cum-president, Mamady Doumbouya, ordered the dissolution of 40 political parties ostensibly for failing to meet their legal and fiscal obligations. The three largest opposition parties cried foul... Cellou Dalein Diallo, called for "direct resistance"
President Mamady Doumbouya ordered 40 parties dissolved for legal and fiscal noncompliance. Three major opposition parties objected and opposition leader Cellou Dalein Diallo called for unspecified “direct resistance.”
Open source reportHe'll now face the tall task of responsibly managing Guinea's resources - and especially its massive bauxite reserves.
Doumbouya faces a major challenge in managing Guinea’s bauxite resources. His investment approach is pragmatic but says mining agreements and plans for managing proceeds remain opaque.
Open source reportDoumbouya's junta barred several popular rivals from running against him, which helped his vote count but weakened the legitimacy he hoped the election would confer on his rule.
Guinea held a presidential vote; coup leader Mamady Doumbouya will win in the first round after the junta excluded several prominent rivals. Those exclusions weaken the election’s legitimacy.
Open source reportGuinea's junta leader, Mamady Doumbouya, formally filed to contest the December 28 presidential election, reversing a pledge he made upon seizing power in 2021
Junta leader Mamady Doumbouya registered for the December 28 presidential election, reversing his 2021 pledge not to run. A September referendum removed the prohibition on military candidates and introduced restrictions excluding his two closest rivals.
Open source reportthe junta banned the country's three main political parties - including deposed Pres. Conde's Rally of the Guinean People - from participating, saying the "parties have not fulfilled the obligations required of them."
The junta barred Guinea’s three main political parties, including former president Alpha Condé’s Rally of the Guinean People, from participating because they had not met required obligations.
Open source reportit instead looks like a way to legitimize its power grab: the draft proposal seems to open the door to keeping junta leader Mamady Doumbouya in power.
The proposed constitution could legitimize the junta’s seizure of power and allow leader Mamady Doumbouya to remain in office.
Open source reportGuinea's junta will put its new draft constitution to a referendum on Sunday.
Guinea was scheduled to hold a referendum on the junta’s new draft constitution on the Sunday following publication.
Open source reportThat's an interesting shift for a junta that ousted the civilian government before it (in part) over overthrown president Conde's attempt to extend his term to five years and run for a third term, for a total of 13 years in power.
The author contrasts the proposal with the junta’s earlier removal of President Alpha Condé, which was partly driven by his effort to seek a third term.
Open source reportGuinea's junta-run parliament proposed that the president's term be extended from five to seven years, and that presidents be allowed to hold office for two terms, or a total of 14 years.
The junta-run parliament proposed extending presidential terms from five to seven years while allowing two terms, for a potential total of 14 years in office.
Open source reportGuinea-Conakry's junta signed a memorandum of understanding with Russia's Rosatom for an ambitious project to build a floating nuclear power plant.
Guinea’s military government signed a memorandum of understanding with Russia’s Rosatom for a proposed floating nuclear power plant.
Open source report