18 developments across 15 briefings for this country.
18Developments
15Source reports
2024-04-05First seen
2026-07-01Last seen
Evidence mix18 developments
Erik’s assessment3Developing1Unverified14
Countries
Mozambique, South Africa
Categories
Energy and resources, Migration, Organized crime, Political instability, Strategic competition
Coordinates
-28.92, 25.16
Latest linked intelligence
Anti-immigrant groups will remain dissatisfied with repatriation rates and continue blaming migrants for domestic problems while unemployment remains high.
Assessment development · updated through
Latest directly linked development
South AfricaErik’s assessment
Continued anti-migrant agitation
Anti-immigrant groups will remain dissatisfied with repatriation rates and continue blaming migrants for domestic problems while unemployment remains high.
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
South Africa dossier
South Africa linked geography
17 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Source archive
0:00Approximate scope
South Africa
South African parliament speaker resigns amid bribery case
The speaker resigned amid allegations that she accepted bribes in return for awarding defense contracts while serving as defense minister. Criminal charges followed and that she denied wrongdoing.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Development timeline
Continued anti-migrant agitation
Erik’s assessmentMigrationSouth Africa
the anti-immigrant groups behind the protests are unlikely to be satisfied by the pace of repatriations and will likely continue to (largely unfairly) blame immigrants for South Africa's woes as long as unemployment remains high.
Anti-immigrant groups will remain dissatisfied with repatriation rates and continue blaming migrants for domestic problems while unemployment remains high.
Thousands of South Africans marched in anti-migrant protests yesterday, but the demonstrations didn't get as unruly as some had feared. That's likely partly because security forces were prepared for unrest and quelled flare-ups quickly. It also probably helped that an estimated 25,000 undocumented migrants heeded the agitators' calls to leave before yesterday's deadline.
Thousands joined anti-migrant protests, security forces contained flare-ups, and an estimated 25,000 undocumented migrants departed before a deadline set by protest organizers.
Anti-immigrant protests raise concern about violence in South Africa
UnverifiedMigrationSouth Africa
Tomorrow is the "deadline" that anti-immigrant groups gave undocumented immigrants to leave South Africa. There's growing concern that the protests the agitators planned for tomorrow could turn violent.
Anti-immigrant groups set 30 June as a deadline for undocumented immigrants to leave South Africa and planned protests that observers fear could become violent.
Ultimatum prompts undocumented migrants to leave South Africa
UnverifiedMigrationNationwide
Anti-immigrant campaigners called for all undocumented immigrants in South Africa to leave the country by June 30, and - unsettled by the memory of the attacks that followed similar prior eviction notices - thousands are heeding the call to return home.
Anti-immigrant campaigners ordered undocumented migrants to leave by June 30, prompting thousands to depart. Nigerians account for about one-quarter of an estimated 2.2 million undocumented migrants and that roughly 1,000 have returned to Nigeria voluntarily.
South African Parliament moves to revive Ramaphosa inquiry
UnverifiedPolitical instabilityCape Town
South Africa's Parliament said it would comply with a recent Constitutional Court decision and establish an impeachment committee to re-investigate old misconduct allegations against President Cyril Ramaphosa.
Parliament will establish an impeachment committee following a Constitutional Court decision invalidating a 2022 vote that blocked proceedings. The revived inquiry concerns foreign currency found at President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Phala Phala game farm; Ramaphosa refuses to resign.
South Africa hosts the G20 summit next weekend. Pres. Trump is not only skipping the summit; he has also called for this year's host to be expelled from the bloc "because what's happened there is bad."
Trump plans to skip the upcoming G20 summit and has called for South Africa’s expulsion from the bloc. South African officials dispute his claims about disproportionate violence against white farmers.
South Africa hosts the G20 summit next weekend. Pres. Trump is not only skipping the summit; he has also called for this year's host to be expelled from the bloc "because what's happened there is bad."
South Africa will host the G20 summit the following weekend and that Trump will not attend. Him calling for South Africa’s expulsion over failures to protect white farmers, claims that South African officials dispute.
The inaugural edition of African Energy Week (AEW) takes place in Cape Town from Tues to Friday.
An African Energy Week event scheduled from Tuesday through Friday; organizers intended it to emphasize energy innovation, contrasting it with the African Mining Indaba’s focus on major deals and legacy assets.
Scientists test radioactive horn markers against rhino trafficking
UnverifiedOrganized crimeSouth Africa
South African scientists injected five rhinos' horns with a radioactive material called Rhisotope… as part of a new anti-poaching campaign.
South African scientists injected the horns of five rhinos with a radioactive material called Rhisotope, intended to be harmless to the animals but detectable by airport scanners. An estimate that poachers have killed more than one rhino per day in South Africa since 2021.
Fearing spillover effects from post-election violence in Mozambique, South Africa closed its main border crossing with its eastern neighbor at Lebombo.
The closure of South Africa’s main crossing with Mozambique comes from fears that Mozambique’s post-election violence could spill across the border.
South African parties move toward ANC-led unity government
DevelopingPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
South Africa's top court rejected an appeal by ex-Pres. Zuma's new MK party that sought to stop Zuma's former African National Congress (ANC) party - and his political rival, Pres. Ramaphosa - from forming a government. According to preliminary indications, the Democratic Alliance (DA) and Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) have already agreed to join the ANC's national unity government.
South Africa’s top court rejected the MK party’s attempt to block government formation and that preliminary indications showed the Democratic Alliance and Inkatha Freedom Party joining an ANC-led coalition with a legislative majority.
Zuma challenge is obstacle to ANC coalition formation
Erik’s assessmentPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
Zuma's appeals are unlikely to reverse election results, but they may hinder the ANC's progress forming a national unity government.
MK’s challenges are unlikely to reverse the election result but could delay formation of a national unity government and complicate President Cyril Ramaphosa’s reelection by parliament.
MK party challenges election and parliamentary sitting
UnverifiedPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
MK filed formal objections alleging widespread irregularities in the poll - without offering any evidence to support its claim - and filed legal papers to block the ANC from convening its first parliamentary session on Friday.
Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe party filed objections alleging election irregularities without presenting evidence and submitted legal papers seeking to block the first parliamentary session after the ANC lost its majority.
ANC and Democratic Alliance discuss coalition government
UnverifiedPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
South Africa's African National Congress (ANC) is in talks with the Democratic Alliance (DA) about a coalition government.
The African National Congress is holding coalition talks with the Democratic Alliance; South African stocks, bonds, and currency rose amid expectations of a more business-friendly governing arrangement.
ANC loses majority and faces coalition negotiations
UnverifiedPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
South Africa released official election results on Saturday, confirming that the ruling African National Congress (ANC) party lost its majority for the first time since Nelson Mandela led it to victory in 1994.
The ANC received 40.2% of the vote and has two weeks to form a coalition. The DA at 21.8%, MK at 14.6% and EFF at 9.5% as possible partners, while noting internal ANC disagreement and political friction surrounding former president Jacob Zuma.
A South African court ruled that former president Jacob Zuma will be allowed to run for parliament under the newly-formed MK party on May 29
A South African court ruled that former president Jacob Zuma could contest the May 29 parliamentary election under the newly formed MK party despite his conviction for refusing to cooperate with a graft investigation.
South African parliament speaker resigns amid bribery case
UnverifiedPolitical instabilitySouth Africa
The speaker of South Africa's parliament tendered her resignation amidst an investigation into allegations that she took bribes in exchange for awarding defense contracts while she was defense minister.
The speaker resigned amid allegations that she accepted bribes in return for awarding defense contracts while serving as defense minister. Criminal charges followed and that she denied wrongdoing.