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Ukraine

2 developments across 1 briefing for this place.

2Developments
1Source reports
2026-07-02First seen
2026-07-02Last seen
Evidence mix2 developments
Erik’s assessment1Unverified1
Countries
Russia, Ukraine
Categories
Active conflict

Latest linked intelligence

According to CSIS, an assessment that Russia suffered eight casualties for every Ukrainian casualty in 2026, compared with two to three previously, and that Ukraine’s intensified use of advanced drones contributed to the shift.

Assessment development · updated through

Latest directly linked development
UkraineErik’s assessment

Widening Russian casualty disadvantage comes from Ukrainian drone use

According to CSIS, an assessment that Russia suffered eight casualties for every Ukrainian casualty in 2026, compared with two to three previously, and that Ukraine’s intensified use of advanced drones contributed to the shift.

Open source report

Chronology

Development timeline

  1. Widening Russian casualty disadvantage comes from Ukrainian drone use

    Erik’s assessmentActive conflictUkraine

    this year it has suffered eight casualties for every one it inflicted on Ukraine. CSIS attributes the shift to Ukraine's intensified use of advanced drones, including some with AI-enabled targeting.

    According to CSIS, an assessment that Russia suffered eight casualties for every Ukrainian casualty in 2026, compared with two to three previously, and that Ukraine’s intensified use of advanced drones contributed to the shift.

    Open source report
  2. CSIS estimates of Ukrainian and Russian war casualties

    UnverifiedActive conflictUkraine

    CSIS estimates that Ukraine has suffered 525,000 to 625,000 losses, including 125,000 to 150,000 deaths, while Russia has lost 1.4 million troops, including 450,000 killed in action

    CSIS estimated 525,000–625,000 Ukrainian casualties, including 125,000–150,000 deaths, and 1.4 million Russian casualties, including 450,000 killed in action.

    Open source report