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Losses suffered by Hezbollah and other Iran-backed forces created an opening for the HTS-led offensive and that continued fighting could indicate Syrian government weakness and greater volatility.
Assessment development · updated through
Losses suffered by Hezbollah and other Iran-backed forces created an opening for the HTS-led offensive and that continued fighting could indicate Syrian government weakness and greater volatility.
Open source reportGeography
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Aleppo area dossier
2 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Aleppo area
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and allied factions launched their largest attacks on Syrian government forces since the 2020 ceasefire, captured Base 46, and advanced to within five kilometers of Aleppo. Fighting remained underway despite claims of a government counterattack.
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Chronology
local reports suggest fighting is ongoing - which would portend regime weakness and much more volatility to come.
Losses suffered by Hezbollah and other Iran-backed forces created an opening for the HTS-led offensive and that continued fighting could indicate Syrian government weakness and greater volatility.
Open source reportHTS and its allied factions launched their most significant attacks on Syrian government forces since the 2020 ceasefire, capturing the largest Syrian army base there - Base 46 - and encroaching to within three miles (five km) of Aleppo city.
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and allied factions launched their largest attacks on Syrian government forces since the 2020 ceasefire, captured Base 46, and advanced to within five kilometers of Aleppo. Fighting remained underway despite claims of a government counterattack.
Open source report