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2 direct mentions across 2 briefings, with 2 linked developments.
Latest linked intelligence
Supporters of jailed former prime minister Imran Khan ended demonstrations seeking his release and the government’s dissolution after police used force. At least six deaths among demonstrators and police.
Unverified development · updated through
Supporters of jailed former prime minister Imran Khan ended demonstrations seeking his release and the government’s dissolution after police used force. At least six deaths among demonstrators and police.
Open source reportGeography
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Imran Khan dossier
2 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Islamabad
Thousands rallied to demand former Prime Minister Imran Khan's release and the dissolution of the government. Khan has been incarcerated for more than a year and considers the charges against him politically motivated.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
Chronology
Off Leash update 27 Nov 2024 Happy and Blessed Thanksgiving to you all America! We stand on the shoulders of giants and must care wisely for our Republic. Hezbollah •Israel's cabinet approved a deal for a "permanent cessation of hostilities" with Hezbollah yesterday, and it went into effect at 4 am local time. •As early reports suggested, the truce gives Israel 60 days to withdraw from parts of Lebanon south of the Litani River, handing control of those areas to the Lebanese military, which will be responsible for ensuring Hezbollah doesn't return to the border regions (as it did quickly after the failed 2006 peace agreement). •Turkey called on Israel to pay Lebanon reparations for the damage Israeli airstrikes inflicted during the campaign. The World Bank estimated that the three-month campaign caused Lebanon $8.5 billion in damage and losses. However, Israel has no obligation to pay - and probably won't. •Some - including Pres. Biden - were hopeful that Hezbollah's decision to make peace with Israel will galvanize (or cow) Hamas into a similar agreement, but that doesn't seem likely: neither Hamas nor Israel has shown any inclination to deescalate. China •The Financial Times (FT) reported that China's Defense Minister, Adm. Dong Jun, is being investigated for corruption. Dong is the third Chinese Defense Minister in a row to face corruption allegations. •Analysts think the investigation is a sign that Pres. Xi is expanding his crackdown on corruption in the People's Liberation Army (PLA). Some further surmised that the inquiries - and the fact that they keep digging up dirt on Xi's handpicked top brass - could shake Xi's confidence in his military, which could alter his timeline and ambitions on Beijing's claim to Taiwan. •China dismissed the FT report about Dong as "shadow chasing," but there have been other signs that Dong's clout is diminished: for example, he was recently skipped over for a widely-expected appointment to the Central Military Commission that runs the PLA. Venezuela •Pres. Maduro's government announced yet another investigation into alleged "crimes of treason against the country" by opposition leader Maria Corina Machado. •Maduro blames Machado for inspiring the U.S. to slap sanctions on him and his cronies, but all she really did was organize a way to expose Maduro's election theft by collecting true vote tallies that confirmed he lost the election. Mozambique •After weeks of trying to brush post-election protests under the rug, Pres. Nyusi acknowledged an impasse and offered to meet opposition leader Venâncio Mondlane for talks on election results Mondlane has questioned. Mondlane refused to attend in person but offered to talk virtually - if the ruling Frelimo party agrees to that and his other demands. •Some minor opposition parties did attend talks with Frelimo, but the meeting lost steam quickly without a quorum. •Meanwhile, protests flared back up after police violently broke up a pro-Mondlane rally. Netizens were particularly aghast at a widely-shared video of an armored police vehicle running down an unarmed protester earlier today. Pakistan •Supporters of jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan ended their demonstrations demanding his release - and the dissolution of the government that convicted him - after police used force to disrupt the rallies. At least six - including both police and demonstrators - died in the melee.
Open source reportOff Leash update 25 Nov Coming Up This Week •The Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee on Plastics Pollution (INC-5) meets in Busan, Korea today through Sunday. They aim to set targets and a timeline for reducing global plastic production, but it will be hard to reach concensus on plastics policy when we don't yet have clear scientific concensus on the risks plastics pose - and with plastics producers and oil companies resisting new regulation. •Indonesia votes in regional elections and Namibia votes in a general election on Wednesday. Indonesia's vote isn't getting much press: most of the regional races are inconsequential on the national scale and the overall vote seems more like a gauge of new president Joko Widodo's regional influence than a referendum on his policy plan. In Namibia, the long-ruling SWAPO party faces its toughest test yet because economic frustrations are driving younger voters away from the status quo and into the arms of upstart opposition parties. •The U.S. celebrates Thanksgiving on Thursday and shops Black Friday the following day. Only one of the two holidays has spread beyond U.S. borders: many other countries - including much of Europe and even Iran - now join in on the Black Friday shopping bonanza...but not the Thanksgiving feast. •Ireland votes in a snap election on Friday. Prime Minister Harris's Fine Gael party is polling in third place after losing one-fourth of its support over a series of gaffes in recent weeks, but its main coalition partner - Fianna Fail - is polling in first, so their coalition should prevail. Coommodity Prices •Aluminum: $2,624/ton •Antimony (ingot min. 99.65% fob China): $33,550/ton •Cobalt: $24,300/ton •Copper: $8,968/ton •Gold: $2,640/toz •Lead: $2,022/ton •Natural Gas (Nymex): $3.32/MMbtu •WTI Crude Oil (Nymex): $69.53/barrel •Zinc: $2,967/ton Israel, Hezbollah, and Hamas •Despite reported progress in Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire talks, both sides continued to exchange fire. Israel targeted a top Hezbollah military commander in central Beirut, killing at least 29 (but reportedly not the commander it was after). Hezbollah then retaliated by firing around 250 rockets into Israel, including at Tel Aviv (Israel intercepted most but there were a few injuries). •Israeli-Moldovan Rabbi Zvi Kogan went missing in Abu Dhabi last Thursday and was found murdered yesterday. Israeli officials called his killing an "abhorrent act of antisemitic terrorism," and UAE police arrested "three perpetrators involved in the murder." Israel has previously accused Iran and its proxies of targeting Israelis abroad, and Emirati police are investigating the possibility that Iran was behind this assassination. Ukraine / Yemen •Financial Times reported that Russia has recruited - and, in some cases, forced - hundreds of Yemenis to fight in its war against Ukraine. •According to the Times report, many of the new recruits had no prior military training or experience and couldn't read the enlistment contracts they signed. Some said a man speaking non-native Arabic fired a pistol over their head and ordered them to sign a document written in Russian. •The other side of Russia's recruitment drive in Yemen is equally concerning: U.S. Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking assessed that Russia may be rewarding the Houthi leaders facilitating its recruitment with promises to send new weapons the Houthis can use to target Red Sea shipping. Pakistan •Thousands of supporters of deposed Prime Minister Imran Khan rallied in Islamabad to demand his release from jail - and the dissolution of the current government that jailed him. Khan faces over 150 criminal charges - which he says are politically motivated - and has been incarcerated for over a year. Afghanistan •An apparently lone gunman opened fire at a Sufi shrine in Afghanistan's Baghlan province during a weekly ritual on Friday, killing 10. 1/2
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