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11 developments across 9 briefings for this country.
Latest linked intelligence
U.S. pressure is probably intended to make Havana stop providing a permissive environment for governments hostile to the United States to conduct intelligence and military operations near Florida.
Assessment development · updated through
U.S. pressure is probably intended to make Havana stop providing a permissive environment for governments hostile to the United States to conduct intelligence and military operations near Florida.
Open source reportGeography
Marker precision is disclosed on selection. Country and regional centroids show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Cuba dossier
9 mapped developments across 1 map positions. Centroid markers show geographic scope, not an exact incident site.
Havana harbour
Four Russian naval vessels arrived in Havana, that Cuban officials denied the vessels carried weapons, and that the United States was monitoring them.
Approximate map position: country centroid. The extracted place did not have provider-resolved coordinates.
1 supporting public source attached
Chronology
they are probably intended to coerce Havana into ending its decades-long practice of offering a "permissive environment" for governments hostile to the U.S. to run intelligence and military operations from a base only 90 miles (145 km) from Florida.
U.S. pressure is probably intended to make Havana stop providing a permissive environment for governments hostile to the United States to conduct intelligence and military operations near Florida.
Open source reportCuba... called the new sanctions and thinly-veiled threats "illegal" and "coercive."
Cuba characterized the new U.S. measures and threats as “illegal” and “coercive.”
Open source reportCiting Cuba's ties to Iran and Hezbollah, the U.S. slapped broad new sanctions on Cuban entities and officials involved in the "energy, defense and related materiel, metals and mining, financial services, or security sector of the Cuban economy, or any other sector of the Cuban economy."
Washington sanctioned Cuban entities and officials across the energy, defense, mining, metals, financial-services, and security sectors, citing Cuban ties to Iran and Hezbollah.
Open source reportThe Anatoly Kolodkin, a U.S.-sanctioned Russian tanker, delivered fuel to Cuba yesterday after securing Pres. Trump's approval to sail through his energy blockade of the island.
The sanctioned tanker Anatoly Kolodkin delivered enough fuel for three to four weeks after receiving U.S. approval. The White House may consider further shipments individually, marking a limited exception to the administration’s stated blockade policy.
Open source reportAt least one state-owned (and U.S.-sanctioned) Russian tanker appears to be headed for Cuba to deliver the fuel-starved island 730,000 barrels of crude oil.
The state-owned Russian tanker Anatoly Kolodkin appears to be carrying 730,000 barrels of crude toward Cuba while broadcasting “Atlantis, USA” as its destination. Treasury added Cuba to a list of destinations barred from purchasing newly unsanctioned Russian oil.
Open source reportMost of what we know comes from the Cuban government's account of the incident, but that's now being called into question after one of the men Havana identified as a dead attacker popped up alive and well in Miami.
Details of a February 26 shootout involving Cuban border guards; seaborne infiltrators remain murky. A man identified by Havana as a dead attacker was subsequently found alive in Miami, calling part of the official account into question, while suggesting those actually killed or captured were Cuban dissidents.
Open source reportHurricane Melissa hit Jamaica as the strongest storm the island nation has ever recorded, but weakened to a Category 3 storm before reaching Cuba early today.
Melissa is the strongest storm recorded in Jamaica; it weakened to Category 3 before reaching Cuba. The storm’s earlier strengthening comes from unusually warm water, citing unnamed climatologists.
Open source reportThe U.S. will remove Cuba from its list of state sponsors of terrorism, in exchange for the Cuban government's agreement to free protesters jailed during its 2021 crackdown.
The United States would remove Cuba from its state-sponsors-of-terrorism list in exchange for the Cuban government releasing protesters jailed following its 2021 crackdown. Recent U.S. administrations have repeatedly changed Cuba’s designation.
Open source reportThree of the 15 are eligible for transfer but - like the Yemenis - come from unstable countries they can't be transferred back to (Somalia, Libya, and Stateless Rohingya Myanmar); the rest are being held indefinitely because they've been convicted / charged or are otherwise ineligible for transfer.
Three of the remaining 15 prisoners are eligible for transfer, while the others have been convicted, charged or deemed otherwise ineligible.
Open source reportCuba suffered four nationwide electrical grid failures over the weekend.
Four nationwide grid failures over the weekend, attributes them to power-plant problems; Cuba’s eight electricity plants as nearly 50 years old and poorly maintained. President Miguel Díaz-Canel urged citizens to express their frustrations peacefully.
Open source reportFour Russian navy vessels arrived in Havana harbour, in what the BBC called "a show of force amid tensions with the West over the war in Ukraine." Cuban officials were quick to clarify that none of the boats have any weapons aboard. The U.S. is monitoring them anyway.
Four Russian naval vessels arrived in Havana, that Cuban officials denied the vessels carried weapons, and that the United States was monitoring them.
Open source report